by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 15, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, November 18, 2024
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texans -7, Cowboys +7; Over/Under: 42 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texans -7, Cowboys +7; Over/Under: 42 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texans -7.5, Cowboys +7.5; Over/Under: 42 points
Season Record
Houston Texans: 6-4 (1st place, AFC South)
Dallas Cowboys: 3-6 (3rd place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Houston Texans: lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 26-23.
Dallas Cowboys: lost their last game at home against the Philadelphia Eagles 34-6.
Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Preview and Analysis
The Texans are entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 26-23. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 19/33 passes for 232 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 46 and 1 TD. John Metchie III led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kamari Lassiter led the defense in interceptions with 2 while Jimmie Ward, Henry To'oTo'o, and Calen Bullock each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 3-6 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-4 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 34-6. Cooper Rush was the starting QB and he completed 13/23 passes for 45 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing yards with 53. Jake Ferguson led the receivers with 24 receiving yards on 4 receptions. DeMarvion Overshown led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while DeMarvion Overshown and Micah Parsons each led the defense in sacks with 2. Trevon Diggs came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Texans vs Cowboys Prediction
The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 6-4 record overall which has them leading the AFC South. They are coming off a tight loss to the Lions in their last one, and they haven't looked as good in their road games with their 2-3 road record. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-6 record overall which has them near the bottom of the NFC East and out of the playoff race at the moment. Their defense has not been the same as it was last year, dealing with a lot of injuries this season, but their offense has also looked really up and down too. They were already struggling when Dak Prescott was healthy, but now they are missing him due to injury and they are coming off a 34-6 loss at home to the Eagles in their first game without him. This team has problems all over the roster this season and they have looked terrible in their own building with their 0-4 home record. The Texans haven't looked great lately, but they are starting to get healthier now and have a lot more talent on their offense with CJ Stroud healthy. The defense has also played well this season so this is a great game for the Texans to bounce back in with a much needed win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game.
Texans Cowboys Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, November 18, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Texans 28 Cowboys 7.
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NFL Betting Trends
Houston Texans: 5-9 ATS as a favorite. 4-10 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 3-7 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 28-16 UNDER in all games. 10-5 UNDER as a favorite. 8-1 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more.
Dallas Cowboys: 8-1 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 10-3 ATS after playing a division game. 11-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 6-3 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 4-1 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game.
Key Injuries
Houston Texans: L. Tunsil (T) Injured - Knee. D. Autry (DE) Injured - Rest. F. Fatukasi (DT) Injured - Foot. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Injured - Knee. J. Hansen (LB) Injured - Ankle. N. Collins (WR) Injured - Hamstring. J. Okudah (CB) Injured - Quad. D. Pierce (RB) Injured - Groin. D. Stingley (CB) Injured - Hip. W. Anderson (DE) Injured - Ankle. C. Stroud (QB) Injured - Hand. K. Lassiter (CB) Injured - Concussion. B. Fisher (T) Injured - Concussion.
Dallas Cowboys: Z. Martin (G) Injured - Shoulder. J. Lewis (CB) Injured - Neck. D. Prescott (QB) Injured - Hamstring. C. Rush (QB) Injured - Neck. E. Kendricks (MLB) Injured - Shoulder. N. Vigil (LB) Injured - Foot. T. Diggs (CB) Injured - Calf. C. Edoga (G) Injured - Toe. D. Wilson (SAF) Injured - Hip. J. Ferguson (TE) Injured - Illness. M. Parsons (LB) Injured - Ankle. D. Overshown (LB) Injured - Knee. T. Smith (OL) Injured - Knee. H. Luepke (RB) Injured - Calf. D. Bland (CB) Injured - Foot. J. Thomas (SAF) Injured - Concussion. C. Carson (CB) Injured - Shoulder. T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“We didn’t make the plays to win the game ... to win games guys have to step up and make plays and that’s not happening.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game.
“Understand that you know our quarterback’s out. Things ain’t always going to be how you expect it. And it kind of just got to be the light. It’s one of them years where, like I say, it’s challenging, but we’ve got to be the light for everybody.” - Micah Parsons after their loss against the Eagles in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Hutchinson, Xavier
WR Dell, Tank
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe
Dallas Cowboys
WR Brooks, Jalen
WR Tolbert, Jalen
WR Lamb, CeeDee
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Rush, Cooper
RB Dowdle, Rico
FB Luepke, Hunter
Statistical Leaders
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (2371)
Rushing: J. Mixon (655)
Receiving: N. Collins (567)
Touchdowns: J. Mixon (8)
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: D. Prescott (1978)
Rushing: R. Dowdle (374)
Receiving: C. Lamb (681)
Touchdowns: C. Lamb (4)
Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)
Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
