by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 26, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texans -3, Panthers +3; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texans -3, Panthers +3; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texans -3, Panthers +3; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Houston Texans: 3-3 (2nd place, AFC South)
Carolina Panthers: 0-6 (4th place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Houston Texans: won their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 20-13.
Carolina Panthers: lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 42-21.
Houston Texans vs Carolina Panthers Preview and Analysis
The Texans are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 20-13. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 13/27 passes for 199 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing yards with 58. Nico Collins led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Sheldon Rankins led the defense in sacks with 1. Steven Nelson came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Panthers are entering this game with a 0-6 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 42-21. Bryce Young was the starting QB and he completed 23/38 passes for 217 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Chuba Hubbard led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 1 TD. Adam Thielen led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. C.J. Henderson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Troy Hill came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Texans vs Panthers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans are 3-3 this season and they haven't been great but they have been a lot better than expected with their rookie QB CJ Stroud. The offense has been performing well with Stroud as he gets more comfortable at the NFL level and Ryans has also turned this defense around in a short time. Meanwhile, the Panthers also have a rookie QB this season with Bryce Young but he hasn't looked good at all and the Panthers are now 0-6 this season, the only team in the NFL without a win. The Panthers have the home advantage here but both teams are also coming off a bye and the Texans have looked a lot better in their games lately than the Panthers. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game.
Texans Panthers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 24 Panthers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Houston Texans: 21-37 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 8-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 13-7 UNDER in road games. 10-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Carolina Panthers: 14-6 ATS off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more. 11-3 ATS after allowing 40 points or more last game. 9-3 ATS after 2 straight losses by 14 or more points. 9-3 UNDER as a home underdog. 10-4 UNDER off a road loss.
Key Injuries
Houston Texans: H. Ridgeway (DT) Ques Sun - Calf. L. Tunsil (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. B. Jordan (TE) Ques Sun - Foot. X. Hutchinson (WR) Ques Sun - Foot. D. Perryman (LB) Prob Sun - Hand. R. Woods (WR) Ques Sun - Foot. S. Rankins (DT) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Thomas (CB) Ques Sun - Hand. T. Dell (WR) Prob Sun - Concussion. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. D. Stingley Jr. (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Scruggs (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. C. Heck (OT) Out indefinitely - Foot. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.
Carolina Panthers: T. Moton (T) Ques Sun - Knee. F. Luvu (LB) Ques Sun - Hip. S. Sullivan (TE) Ques Sun - Illness. C. Zavala (G) Prob Sun - Neck. M. Sanders (RB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. G. Ricci (TE) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Y. Gross-Matos (LB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Chinn (S) Late Nov - Quadricep. A. Corbett (G) Prob Sun - Knee. V. Bell (S) Ques Sun - Quadricep. L. Shenault Jr. (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. I. Thomas (TE) Out indefinitely - Calf. X. Woods (S) Mid Nov - Hamstring. S. Thompson (LB) I-R - Leg. J. Horn (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. B. Christensen (G) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Haynes Sr. (LB) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Anderson (DE) I-R - Foot.
Notable Quotes
“When the game was on the line and we needed it most, guys stepped up. It’s tough to win in this league, but it was awesome to see the way our guys grinded it out and the way they stepped up right there in the end.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game.
“When they get hot, they’re tough to stop. They’ve got some big-time playmakers. I mean, Tyreek, when he hits that thing running, it looks different, and it feels different. You can watch that on film, but when you feel it on the field, he’s a difference maker.” - Frank Reich after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Dell, Tank
WR WOODS, ROBERT
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Pierce, Dameon
FB Beck, Andrew
Carolina Panthers
WR Mingo, Jonathan
WR Chark Jr., DJ
WR THIELEN, ADAM
TE HURST, HAYDEN
QB Young, Bryce
RB Sanders, Miles
Statistical Leaders
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (1660)
Rushing: D. Pierce (281)
Receiving: N. Collins (547)
Touchdowns: N. Collins (3)
Carolina Panthers
Passing: B. Young (967)
Rushing: C. Hubbard (242)
Receiving: A. Thielen (509)
Touchdowns: A. Thielen (4)
Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)
Carolina Panthers: Frank Reich (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
