Houston Texans vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/08/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans +1, Falcons -1; Over/Under:  41.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans +1, Falcons -1; Over/Under:  41.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans +1, Falcons -1; Over/Under:  41.5 points

Houston Texans:  2-2 (2nd place, AFC South)

Atlanta Falcons:  2-2 (2nd place, NFC South)

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Houston Texans:  won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-6.

Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-7.

The Texans are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-6. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 16/30 passes for 306 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Dameon Pierce led the team in rushing yards with 81. Nico Collins led the receivers with 168 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Christian Harris led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Jonathan Greenard led the defense in sacks with 2. Steven Nelson came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-7. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 19/31 passes for 191 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 105. Jonnu Smith led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Richie Grant led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while David Onyemata led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked a lot better in their last 2 games after losing their first 2 games of the season. They have now won 2 games in a row and they are starting to find a rhythm on offense with 30+ points in both games. Their defense has also been good in those games while the Falcons haven't been great. The Falcons defense hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in their games this season but their offense has been a big problem. They haven't been putting up a ton of points even in their 2 wins and now they have to play this game right after coming back from London. The Falcons have been a lot better in their home games this season but they will be at a disadvantage here with the travel while the Texans are starting to find some rhythm now. The Texans will carry that momentum over into this game against the Falcons who have now lost 2 games in a row. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 8, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 24 Falcons 17.

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Houston Texans: 20-37 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 17-26 ATS in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points. 13-3 UNDER after a win by 21 or more points. 22-13 UNDER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. 

Atlanta Falcons: 5-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 3-0 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games. 23-15 UNDER in all games. 15-7 UNDER against AFC South division opponents. 8-3 UNDER in non-conference games.

Houston Texans:  M. Deiter (C) day-to-day - Chest. J. Jones (OT) day-to-day - Hand. D. Perryman (LB) day-to-day - Hand. T. Thomas (CB) day-to-day - Hand. L. Tunsil (OT) day-to-day - Knee. D. Stingley Jr. (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Calf. N. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. T. Howard (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. C. Johnston (P) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Scruggs (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. C. Heck (OT) Out indefinitely - Foot. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

Atlanta Falcons:  J. Ali (WR) day-to-day - Ankle. T. Andersen (LB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. P. Hart (WR) I-R - Concussion. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.

"Dude is balling. The work he puts in every day, you can tell. It shows up in prime time and it’s only going to get better for him.” - Nico Collins on CJ Stroud after their win against the Steelers in their last game. 

“I did a terrible job of taking care of the ball. We've got to find a way to start faster, whatever that may be, however it is, that's just what we've got to do, and I've got to do a better job of taking care of the ball.” - Desmond Ridder after their loss against the Jags in their last game. 

WR Collins, Nico 

WR Dell, Tank  

WR WOODS, ROBERT 

TE Schultz, Dalton 

QB Stroud, C.J. 

RB Pierce, Dameon 

FB Beck, Andrew 

WR London, Drake 

WR Hollins, Mack 

TE Pitts, Kyle

TE Smith, Jonnu 

QB Ridder, Desmond 

RB Robinson, Bijan 

FB SMITH, KEITH

Passing: C. Stroud (1212)

Rushing: D. Pierce (181)

Receiving: N. Collins (428)

Touchdowns: N. Collins (3)

Passing: D. Ridder (744)

Rushing: B. Robinson (318)

Receiving: J. Smith (179)

Touchdowns: T. Allgeier (2)

Coaches:

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)

Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)