Houston Rockets vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/26/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Feb 25, 2026
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, February 26, 2026
Venue:  Kia Center, Orlando, FL 
Where to Watch:  Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets -1.5, Magic +1.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets -1.5, Magic +1.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets -1.5, Magic +1.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Season Record

Houston Rockets:  35-21 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Orlando Magic:  31-26 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10
Orlando Magic:  6-4 last 10


Houston Rockets vs Orlando Magic Preview and Analysis


The Rockets are entering this game with a 35-21 record overall this season and they are 16-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Utah Jazz, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Sacramento Kings still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Jazz, Jabari Smith Jr. led the team in points in that game with 31 while Amen Thompson was next on the team with 20 points. Kevin Durant led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Tari Eason led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 57% from the field, 45% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.4 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 25-31 this season and their O/U record is 23-32-1.



The Magic are entering this game with a 31-26 record overall this season and they are 17-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers and the Los Angeles Lakers. Paolo Banchero led the team in points in that game with 36 while Desmond Bane was next on the team with 22 points. Paolo Banchero and Desmond Bane each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Wendell Carter Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.2% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Magic have an ATS record of 25-32 this season and their O/U record is 29-28.


Rockets vs Magic Prediction

The current betting odds have the Magic listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Magic have looked good in their games this season with their 31-26 record overall which has them right in the middle of the East. They have looked great on their home court too with their 17-9 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Rockets have looked really good in their games this season with their 35-21 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 16-14 road record this year. The Rockets are off a win over the Jazz in their last one and they have looked good lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, They have been a solid road team this season too, but they definitely haven't been at their best in road games this year, and they aren't in a great situation here either. They are playing this game on a back-to-back with a game against the Kings on Wednesday and even though they are at home for one of the worst teams in the NBA, they still have to travel to the East Coast after for this game. The Magic have been a really up and down team all season, but lately they have looked a lot better and they are going to be rested for this game. They are also 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. The Magic have been getting into a groove lately and have looked a lot better on their home court this year, they can take advantage of the Rockets in a bad situation here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Magic to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Magic Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 26, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Magic 111 Rockets 109.
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NBA Betting Trends


Houston Rockets: 8-3 ATS on the road in non-conference games. 9-3 ATS on the road when playing against a team with a winning record. 38-23 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 16-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Orlando Magic: 4-8 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 3-9 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 29-36 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 25-12 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.

Key Injuries


Houston Rockets:  A. Thompson (SF) Out - Quad. J. Tate (SF) Out - Knee. S. Adams (C) Out For Season - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Orlando Magic:  J. Suggs (PG) Day To Day - Back. F. Wagner (SF) Out - Ankle. C. Castleton (C) Out - Thumb.


Notable Quotes


“That was just carelessness, simply. It wasn’t by any pressure, any traps, any blitzes. We had nine in the first quarter, of which five were in the first seven possessions. You’re not going to beat a real team, a better team, with that high number.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Monday. 


“I thought the group did a tremendous job of not letting shot-making or missing impact our defense. Obviously, we had some mistakes during this game but our guys stayed the course the entire game.” - Jamahl Mosley after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Rockets
PG Reed Sheppard
SG Tari Eason
SF Kevin Durant
PF Jabari Smith Jr.
C Alperen Sengun

Orlando Magic
PG Jevon Carter
SG Anthony Black
SF Desmond Bane
PF Paolo Banchero
C Wendell Carter Jr.

Statistical Leaders


Houston Rockets
PPG: Kevin Durant (25.9)
APG: Alperen Sengun (6.3)
Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (9.1)

Orlando Magic
PPG: Paolo Banchero (21.5)
APG: Jalen Suggs (5.4)
Reb/G: Paolo Banchero (8.4)

Coaches:
Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)
Orlando Magic: Jamahl Mosley (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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