Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/27/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  BSOK

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets +6, Thunder -6; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets +6, Thunder -6; Over/Under:  230.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets +6, Thunder -6; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Houston Rockets:  36-35 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  49-21 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Houston Rockets:  9-1 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Rockets are entering this game with a 36-35 record overall and they are 10-24 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak with wins coming against the Portland Trail Blazers, the Sacramento Kings, the San Antonio Spurs, the Washington Wizards, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Wizards again, the Chicago Bulls, the Utah Jazz, and the Trail Blazers again in their last game. Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jock Landale was next on the team with 17 points. Fred VanVleet and Aaron Holiday each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Amen Thompson and Jock Landale each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39.8% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 96% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 40-29-2 this season and their O/U record is 33-36-2.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 49-21 record overall and they are 28-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the New Orleans Pelicans still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Bucks, Josh Giddey led the team in points in that game with 19 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 18 points. Josh Giddey led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Josh Giddey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 37.1% from the field, 23.3% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 40-29-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-31-3.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked really good in their games this season with their 49-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 28-7 home record. Meanwhile, the Rockets have looked decent in their games this season with their 36-35 record overall, but that record has them right outside the last play-in spot for the playoffs in the West. They are right on the cusp of the play-in spots and have been putting some pressure on the Warriors in front of them, but they haven't looked good in their road games this year. The Rockets have been really hot coming into this one with 9 wins in a row now, but they have looked terrible in their road games with their 10-24 road record. The Thunder haven't been as hot as the Rockets have been lately but the Thunder are still 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Thunder aren't in a good situation here since they are playing on a back-to-back, but they do have a younger team that can play in these situations and they will be able to take advantage of how bad the Rockets have been on the road this season. The Rockets also haven't beaten a team like the Thunder on their 9 game winning streak as the Thunder are one of the best in the NBA right now and fighting for the number 1 seed in the West too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 27, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 110 Rockets 97.

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Houston Rockets: 37-62 ATS as a road underdog. 3-7 ATS after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite. 27-19 UNDER as an underdog. 30-19 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 31-19 UNDER against Northwest division opponents.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 11-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 14-6 ATS after 3 straight games committing 4+ less turnovers than opponents. 7-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 8-3 UNDER in March games.

Houston Rockets:  J. Smith Jr. (PF) Elig Wed - Suspension. C. Whitmore (SF) Early April - Knee. A. Sengun (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Eason (SF) out for season - Leg. S. Adams (C) out for season - Knee.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  L. Dort (SG) Prob Tues - Nose.

“His energy really got us back in the game. His energy has been huge lately, and we really needed it tonight with a few guys struggling early.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Monday.

“They had him in a crowd for much of the night and made it very difficult for him to get his cracks. I thought as a team, just our overall pace and sharpness on offense wasn't where it needed to be.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Bucks in their game on Sunday.

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green

SF Amen Thompson

PF Dillon Brooks

C Jabari Smith Jr.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PPG: A. Sengun (21.1)

APG: F. VanVleet (8.2)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (9.3)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (30.5)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.3)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.9)

Coaches:

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (1st season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)