Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/07/2026

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, February 7, 2026

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Houston Rockets:  31-19 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  40-12 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  5-5 last 10

The Rockets are entering this game with a 31-19 record overall this season and they are 14-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics and the Charlotte Hornets. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jabari Smith Jr. was next on the team with 17 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 45.8% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.1 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 22-28 this season and their O/U record is 21-28-1.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 40-12 record overall this season and they are 22-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Kenrich Williams led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jaylin Williams was next on the team with 24 points. Aaron Wiggins led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jaylin Williams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 39.8% from the field, 40.4% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 25-27 this season and their O/U record is 26-26.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 40-12 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 22-4 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Rockets have looked really good in their games this season with their 31-19 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 14-13 road record this year. The Rockets have been a good road team, but they definitely haven't been at their best on the road this year. They are also 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they have lost 2 games in a row now and they are off a bad home loss to the Hornets in their last one. They have hit a bit of a slump and now they have to go on the road against the best team in the NBA, catching them at the wrong time. The Thunder have been dealing with some injuries lately and haven't looked great, going 5-5 in their last 10 games. They are off a loss to the Spurs in their last one, but they were also resting a lot of their starters on the 2nd game of a back-to-back, so they should be back in the lineup here and will be looking to bounce back in a big way at home. The Thunder have been rolling over opponents in their home games all season and as long as they are getting some of those injured players back, they should be able to take advantage of the Rockets on the road off 2 losses in a row. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, February 7, 2026 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 117 Rockets 107.

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Houston Rockets: 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 9-3 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 24-9 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 11-5 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 9-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 3-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 22-14 OVER off a road loss. 

Houston Rockets:  J. Tate (SF) Day To Day - Wrist. T. Eason (PF) Day To Day - Injury Management. S. Adams (C) Out For Season - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Injury Management. I. Hartenstein (C) Day To Day - Eye. L. Dort (SF) Day To Day - Knee. A. Mitchell (SG) Day To Day - Abdominal. S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Out - Abdominal. J. Williams (SG) Out - Thigh. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

"It's been the case since I've been here, so no different there." - Ime Udoka on Alperen Sengun being hunted on defense in their loss to the Hornets on Thursday.

“There's certainly things we can take from this game, both in terms of us improving and also learning that opponent.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Wednesday.

PG Amen Thompson

SG Tari Eason

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PG Jared McCain

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Alex Caruso

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: Kevin Durant (26)

APG: Alperen Sengun (6.2)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (9.4)

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.8)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (10)

Coaches:

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)