Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/25/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets -1.5, Timberwolves +1.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets -1.5, Timberwolves +1.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets -1.5, Timberwolves +1.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Houston Rockets:  43-28 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  44-28 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Houston Rockets:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  5-5 last 10

The Rockets are entering this game with a 43-28 record overall this season and they are 18-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Chicago Bulls. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 40 while Alperen Şengün was next on the team with 33 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 53.3% from the field, 26.8% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 30-41 this season and their O/U record is 31-39-1.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 44-28 record overall this season and they are 24-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Boston Celtics. Bones Hyland led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 19 points. Ayo Dosunmu led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 42.9% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 31-41 this season and their O/U record is 33-39.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 43-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 18-18 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 44-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 24-13 home record this season. The Timberwolves are off a win over the Celtics in their last one and they needed an early comeback to win that one on the road without their best player, but they haven't looked that great lately and have had a lot of trouble without Edwards in the lineup. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and their offense has looked terrible in their last few games without him. They looked great in that road win over the Celtics, but it will be tough for them to follow that up with another great game against another contender in the West. The Rockets haven't looked great lately themselves, going 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are off a loss to the Bulls in their last one too, but they are a lot better than the way they have played lately and will be looking to bounce back against a banged up Timberwolves team. The Rockets also have one of the best defenses in the NBA, so that Timberwolves offense is going to continue their recent troubles in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 25, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 110 Timberwolves 102.

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Houston Rockets: 25-37 ATS as a favorite. 14-25 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 19-28 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 11-2 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 10-5 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 10-3 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 33-24 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 5-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 6-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 10-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Houston Rockets:  S. Adams (C) Out For Season - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Out - Knee.

“Poor start, disrespected the game, not prepared from the get-go. Just non-aggressive, watching them shoot.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s loss against the Bulls in their game on Monday. 

“Bones was outstanding all night. But it was really defense and the effort we put in there that kept us in position.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Celtics in their game on Sunday. 

PG Amen Thompson

SG Reed Sheppard

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Ayo Dosunmu

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Kevin Durant (25.9)

APG: Alperen Sengun (6.2)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (9)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.5)

APG: Julius Randle (5.1)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

Coaches:

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)