Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/26/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 26, 2025

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  202.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  202.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  202.5 points

Houston Rockets:  52-30 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  48-34 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Houston Rockets:  5-5 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

The Rockets are entering the playoffs with a 52-30 record overall this season and they were 23-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Golden State Warriors. Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 38 while Alperen Şengün was next on the team with 17 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 45.3% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 44-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-38-2.

The Warriors are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Houston Rockets. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 20 while Moses Moody and Quinten Post each were next on the team with 12 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Draymond Green and Stephen Curry each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 41.3% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 42-40-3 this season and their O/U record is 42-43.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Rockets and the 7th seeded Warriors from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Rockets won game 2 at home. The Rockets evened up the series with a 109-94 win over the Warriors in the 2nd game and that was a win they needed to get. The Rockets lost the 1st game of this series 95-85 and they have already given up the home advantage with that loss so that was a big win to avoid going to Golden State down 2-0 in the series. They were helped out in that game as the Warriors lost Jimmy Butler early on, but the Rockets were in control of that game from start to finish. Now Golden State will be back at home and the pressure is on the Rockets to get a road game back here. The Rockets are the 2nd seed in the West and have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA all season, but they are still a really young team that doesn't have a lot of experience winning in the playoffs. The Warriors are a very experienced team that knows what it takes to win and they are going to take advantage of these two home games now that they have flipped the home advantage. The Rockets were always going to answer to that 1st game loss, but this will be their first taste of the playoffs in a hostile road environment so look for an experienced Warriors team to take advantage of that here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 26, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Warriors 114 Rockets 105.

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Houston Rockets: 40-29 ATS off a home win. 23-16 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 11-6 ATS on the road versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 44-25 1H UNDER off a home win. 

Golden State Warriors: 6-11 ATS in all playoff games. 17-33 1H ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 18-24 1H ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 6-3 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs. 22-14 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Houston Rockets:  J. Landale (C) Day To Day - Knee. J. Tate (SF) Day To Day - Ankle.

Golden State Warriors:  J. Butler III (SF) Day To Day - Pelvis.

“When they’re both rolling, we’re hard to beat.” - Ime Udoka on Green and Sengun after his team’s win against the Warriors in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.

“He did a great job. We just didn’t have enough tonight.” - Steve Kerr on Steph Curry after his team’s loss against the Rockets in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green 

SF Amen Thompson

PF Dillon Brooks

C Alperen Sengun

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Moses Moody

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PPG: J. Green (21)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.6)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.3)

PPG: S. Curry (24.5)

APG: S. Curry (6)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.1)

Coaches:

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)