Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/29/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Nov 29, 2023
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, November 29, 2023
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ALT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Season Record

Houston Rockets:  8-6 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Denver Nuggets:  12-6 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Nelly’s Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA as he is 29-13 (69%) +$14,620 in the NBA since May 8 and is 13-7 this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Houston Rockets:  7-3 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10


Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Rockets are entering this game with an 8-6 record overall and they are 0-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies and the Denver Nuggets in their last game, but this will be the 2nd game of a back-to-back with their game against the Dallas Mavericks still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Nuggets, Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 25 while Alperen Şengün was next on the team with 21 points. Fred VanVleet led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Jabari Smith Jr. and Alperen Şengün each led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 48.8% from the field, 41.4% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104.4 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 10-3-1 this season and their O/U record is 4-10.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 12-6 record overall and they are 8-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the San Antonio Spurs and the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Reggie Jackson led the team in points in that game with 35 while DeAndre Jordan was next on the team with 21 points. Reggie Jackson led the team in assists in that game with 13 while DeAndre Jordan led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 47.8% from the field, 45.5% from 3-point range, and 53.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 7-11 this season and their O/U record is 6-12.


Rockets vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good this season with their 12-6 record overall but lately they have been slipping in the West with more losses. They have looked great in their home games all year though with their 8-0 home record. Meanwhile, the Rockets have also looked good this season with their 8-6 record overall but they have looked terrible in their road games with their 0-5 road record. They are also in a bad situation being on a back-to-back here and they also beat the Nuggets a few nights ago so the Nuggets will be looking for revenge in this game on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, November 29, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 122 Rockets 101.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Houston Rockets Denver Nuggets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


Houston Rockets: 11-4 ATS in all games. 8-4 ATS as an underdog. 7-0 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 24-14 UNDER against Northwest division opponents. 5-2 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Denver Nuggets: 4-9 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 6-11 ATS as a favorite. 6-12 ATS off a huge upset win as an underdog of 10 points or more. 9-4 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 26-17 UNDER against Southwest division opponents.

Key Injuries


Houston Rockets:  F. VanVleet (PG) Prob Tues - Thumb. J. Tate (SF) Prob Tues - Knee. T. Eason (SF) Prob Tues - Leg. D. Brooks (SG) Prob Tues - Groin. A. Thompson (SG) Early Dec - Ankle. V. Oladipo (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Ques Wed - Heel. H. Tyson (SF) Ques Wed - Illness. N. Jokic (C) Ques Wed - Back. J. Murray (SG) Early Dec - Quadricep. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“It’s an accomplishment. We’ll take it and learn from it and grow. It’s another win from the defending champions so that’s good.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Nuggets in their game on Friday.


“When you can win games like this with some of your best players out, that speaks to your depth but also the belief in one another. Tonight was special.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the LA Clippers in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Rockets
PG Fred VanVleet
SG Jalen Green
SF Dillon Brooks
PF Jabari Smith Jr.
C Alperen Sengun

Denver Nuggets
PG Reggie Jackson
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


Houston Rockets
PPG: A. Sengun (20.2)
APG: F. VanVleet (9)
Reb/G: A. Sengun (9.1)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (28.8)
APG: N. Jokic (8.9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.4)

Coaches:
Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (1st season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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