Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/06/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 6, 2021
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ALT2

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  217 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  217 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  217 points
 

Season Record

Houston Rockets:  1-7 (4th place, Southwest Division)
Denver Nuggets:  4-4 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
 
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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Houston Rockets:  1-7 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  4-4 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Rockets Analysis

The Rockets are coming into this game with a 1-7 record overall and they are 0-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have just 1 win on the season and they have lost 6 straight games since then with those losses coming against the Boston Celtics, the Dallas Mavericks, the Utah Jazz, the Los Angeles Lakers twice, and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. They are coming into this one on a 6 game losing streak after another loss against the Suns 123-111 in a game that they kept close throughout the entire first half but then let the game slip away from them in the second half. Kevin Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 20 while Christian Wood was next on the team with 18 points. Wood along with Alperen Sengun both led the team in assists in that game with 5 each while Wood led the team in rebounds himself with 15. Their shooting in that game was alright as they were 43.7% with their field goals, 35.5% with their 3-pointers, and 85.7% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 104.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.1 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 4-4 this season and their O/U record is 2-6.
 
 

Denver Nuggets Analysis

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 4-4 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak after losing 2 straight games to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last 2. They are coming into this one off of that loss to the Grizzlies in their last game 108-106 in a game that they fell behind big in the first quarter and tried to claw their way back in the second quarter and the third quarter taking the lead back but they let it go again in the fourth quarter going on to lose the game. Nikola Jokic went off in that game as he led the team in points with 34 while Will Barton was next on the team with 26 points also having a good game. A majority of their offense in that game came from those 2 players. Barton led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jokic and Michael Porter Jr. both led the team in rebounds with 11 each. Their shooting was alright in that game as they were 47.3% with their field goals, 29.6% with their 3-pointers, and 92.3% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 101.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 99.4 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 2-6 this season and their O/U record is 1-7.
 
 

 

Rockets vs Nuggets Prediction

The Rockets are coming into this game as a 10.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have been playing much better in their recent games; they just have trouble finishing their games. The Nuggets have been struggling in their recent games with 2 straight losses to the Grizzlies and their offense is pretty much shut down if Jokic is shut down. The best bet to place in this game is on the Rockets to cover the spread here as they will keep this a closer game.
 
Rockets Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, November 6, 2021 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 107 Rockets 101.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Houston Rockets: 40-29 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points. 1048-1033 ATS in all games. 170-168 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 430-388 ATS as an underdog. 340-291 ATS as a road underdog. 541-486 ATS in road games. 170-150 ATS in November games.
Denver Nuggets: 82-76 O/U as a favorite of 10 or more points. 1043-995 O/U in all games. 236-217 O/U when the total is 210 to 219.5. 491-456 O/U as a favorite. 362-336 O/U as a home favorite. 513-485 O/U in home games. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Rockets:  D. Theis (PF) Ques Sat - Toe injury. D. House Jr. (SF) Out indefinitely - Foot injury. G. Mathews (SG) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Wall (PG) Out indefinitely - Holdout.
Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. J. Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"There was the momentum, the fans, there's our youth. Their know-how and they came at us like a hurricane and it was hard for us to regroup after that." - Stephen Silas on his team’s loss to the Suns on Thursday night.
 
 
"That put us in a deep hole. We fought back, but we just didn't have enough left to close it out." - Will Barton on their loss to the Grizzlies on Wednesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Rockets
PG     Kevin Porter Jr.
SG     Jalen Green
SF     Jae'Sean Tate
PF     Daniel Theis
C     Christian Wood
 
Denver Nuggets
PG    Monte Morris
SG    Will Barton
SF     Michael Porter Jr.
PF    Aaron Gordon
C     Nikola Jokic
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Rockets
PPG: C. Wood (19.9)
APG: K. Porter Jr. (5.1)
Reb/G: C. Wood (12.5)
 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (25.1)
APG: N. Jokic (5.6)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.4)
 
Coaches:
Houston Rockets: Stephen Silas (2nd season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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