Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2023

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Jun 04, 2023
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Monday, June 5, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +115, Blue Jays -135; Over/Under:  10 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +115, Blue Jays -135; Over/Under:  10 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +115, Blue Jays -135; Over/Under:  10 runs

Season Record

Houston Astros:  35-23 (2nd place, AL West)
Toronto Blue Jays:  32-27 (4th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10



Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Astros are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak but lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-23 record overall and have a road record of 17-10. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Los Angeles Angels still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Rookie pitcher J.P. France is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Brandon Bielak is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 2-2 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 5.2 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Blue Jays are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-27 record overall and have a home record of 15-10. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the New York Mets still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 1-6 with a 5.46 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.


Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been getting really hot in their games lately as their pitching has been a lot better, but they are still near the bottom of their division and struggling to make a move in the AL East with so many strong teams around them. The Astros also got off to a slower start this season and are in 2nd place in their division right now as they try to chase down the leading Rangers, but the Astros have been getting a lot better in their games lately too and they have a much better pitching staff than the Blue Jays do. The Jays have been pitching well lately but they haven't been great with their pitching all season while the Astros offense has been lacking this year but their pitching staff has been so good and carried them to a lot of their victories. Bielak is starting here and he has been really good in his starts this year as he hasn't given up many runs and he also has a great bullpen behind him to get him out of trouble if needed. The Blue Jays have been pitching well but they haven't been consistent and they could get blown up at any time which is a big problem since their potent offense hasn't really been putting up runs lately. Manoah hasn't been great this year either as he is having his worst season since coming into the league and the Astros will take advantage of that here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.

Astros Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, June 5, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Astros 4 Blue Jays 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Houston Astros: 9-5 (+5.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 17-10 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline in road games. 10-5 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. BRANDON BIELAK is 6-1 UNDER in all games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 10-11 (-5.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 40-47 (-27.8 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 13-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 15-8 UNDER in home games.

Key Injuries


Houston Astros:  J. Altuve (2B) Ques Sun - Oblique. M. Brantley (DH) Mid June - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Late June - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Mid July - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  C. Bassitt (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. D. Jansen (C) Mid June - Groin. M. White (SP) Mid June - Elbow. S. Espinal (2B) Mid June - Hamstring. Z. Pop (RP) Mid June - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That was like a Barry Bonds day. That was great. He’s getting on base and setting the table for other guys. Then, he cleaned the table. That one with the slam, I didn’t know how much we were going to need all the runs needed today.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Saturday.


“He’s been grinding, there’s been some really good swings, there’s been some hard-hit balls. And I think that results aside, I think the time of the game that it was for us and what it meant for the outcome of it is going to be big for us.” - John Schneider on Vladdy Guerrero Jr after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Astros
Mauricio Dubon (R) 2B
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Jose Abreu (R) 1B
Chas McCormick (R) RF
Corey Julks (R) LF
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C

Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) DH
Brandon Belt (L) 1B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B
Tyler Heineman (S) C

Statistical Leaders


Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Mauricio Dubon (.295)
Hits:  Kyle Tucker (56)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (15)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (51)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (8)
Wins:  Cristian Javier (7)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (11)
ERA:  Phil Maton (0.98)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Bo Bichette (.336)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (85)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (12)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (39)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (15)
Wins:  Yusei Kikuchi (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (14)
ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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