Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/30/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jun 29, 2023
Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Friday, June 30, 2023
Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX 
Where to Watch:  BSSW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +135, Rangers -155; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +135, Rangers -155; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +135, Rangers -155; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Houston Astros:  43-37 (2nd place, AL West)
Texas Rangers:  49-31 (1st place, AL West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 73-51 ($15.1K) this season!. Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Houston Astros:  4-6 last 10
Texas Rangers:  6-4 last 10



Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis


The Astros entered their last series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1. They enter this game with a 43-37 record overall and have a road record of 21-18. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Rangers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the St Louis Cardinals still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the series opener of that series on Tuesday but won the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Rookie pitcher J.P. France is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Ronel Blanco is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the LA Dodgers.

The Rangers entered their last series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1. They enter this game with a 49-31 record overall and have a home record of 26-14. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Friday with the 4th game of their series against the Detroit Tigers still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the 1st game of that series on Monday but won the 2nd and 3rd games on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .801 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cody Bradford is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jon Gray is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-3 with a 2.89 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the New York Yankees.


Astros vs Rangers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have been rolling this season as they lead the division with one of the best records in the MLB and they also have one of the best offenses. Meanwhile, the World Series Champions haven't been having a good start to the season as they have a bottom half offense in the league and are trailing the Rangers in the AL West, fighting with the Angels for 2nd place right now. The Astros have been pitching well this season which has been winning them a lot of games, but lately their pitching hasn't been great as they have been giving up a lot of runs and Blanco hasn't been great in his starts either. The Rangers are going with Gray on the mound and he has been really good for them as a starter this year, especially in his home starts as he hasn't given up many runs in those. The Rangers will have the edge with this pitching matchup and their much stronger offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.

Astros Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 30, 2023 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Rangers 6 Astros 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Houston Astros: 43-37 (-4.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 60-48 (-14.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 31-23 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 6-3 OVER after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents.

Texas Rangers: 49-31 (+13.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-22 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 18-9 over as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 24-13 over in home games. 

Key Injuries


Houston Astros:  M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Late July - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. Y. Alvarez (LF) Mid July - Oblique. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Texas Rangers:  J. Leclerc (RP) Mid July - Ankle. G. Otto (RP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Miller (DH) Early July - Oblique. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“There's only one Altuve. That was Jose being Jose. Glad to have him back.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.


“I can’t say enough about the kid. We had to put him in the rotation when Jacob went down, and he’s done just a tremendous job.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Jose Abreu (R) 1B
Yainer Diaz (R) DH
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Bligh Madris (L) LF
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C

Texas Rangers
Marcus Semien (R) 2B
Corey Seager (L) SS
Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B
Adolis Garcia (R) RF
Josh Jung (R) 3B
Jonah Heim (S) C
Ezequiel Duran (R) LF
Mitch Garver (R) DH
Leody Taveras (S) CF

Statistical Leaders


Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Mauricio Dubon (.285)
Hits:  Kyle Tucker (79)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (17)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (55)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (14)
Wins:  Cristian Javier (7)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (15)
ERA:  Hector Neris (1.14)

Texas Rangers
Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.345)
Hits:  Marcus Semien (96)
Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (20)
RBI:  Adolis Garcia (66)
Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (8)
Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (9)
Saves:  Will Smith (14)
ERA:  Joe Barlow (2.00)

Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)
Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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