Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/06/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Aug 05, 2023
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, August 6, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -102, Yankees -118; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -102, Yankees -118; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -102, Yankees -118; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Houston Astros:  63-48 (2nd place, AL West)
New York Yankees:  57-53 (5th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10



Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Astros are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-48 record overall and have a road record of 32-23. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Thursday but won the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Justin Verlander is their starting pitcher on Saturday while José Urquidy is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-2 with a 5.20 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 5.1 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-53 record overall and have a home record of 34-27. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Thursday but lost the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-4 with a 6.29 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Astros vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros have been playing a lot better in their games lately as they are trying to chase down the Rangers for 1st place in the AL West. Their pitching has been great and their offense has been getting better lately while the Yankees have been struggling all season and now sit at the bottom of their division. The Yankees haven't had a great offense either and they will struggle to compete with the Astros offense in this game. The Yankees have Rodon starting here and he hasn't been great in his few starts this season, giving up a ton of runs in those, including 4 runs in his last outing. The Astros are going to get after him for some runs here with the way he has been pitching lately, especially since they love beating up on the Yankees when they can. Meanwhile, the Astros are going with Urquidy in this game who hasn't started in a while due to injury but he has been a reliable starter for the Astros and will be able to keep this Yankees offense at bay since they haven't been great this season. The Astros have the better offense as of late and the better pitching matchup in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Astros Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 6, 2023 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Astros 5 Yankees 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Houston Astros: 37-18 (+16.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 32-23 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 33-21 UNDER in August games. 

New York Yankees: 18-28 (-11 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 30-34 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. CARLOS RODON is 35-23 UNDER in all games and 12-5 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Key Injuries


Houston Astros:  J. Urquidy (SP) Prob Sun - Shoulder. M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Concussion. D. German (SP) out for season - Personal. J. Trevino (C) out for season - Wrist. F. Montas (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Donaldson (3B) out for season - Calf. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Prob Sat - Shoulder. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That’s a big win for us.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Friday.


“It’s difficult. It’s no fun when you’re going through that and you’re scuffling especially when you’ve been as good a pitcher as he’s been.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Yainer Diaz (R) C
Jose Abreu (R) 1B
Chas McCormick (R) LF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Jake Meyers (R) CF

New York Yankees
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) RF
Jake Bauers (L) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Billy McKinney (L) LF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Kyle Tucker (.300)
Hits:  Kyle Tucker (119)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (20)
RBI:  Kyle Tucker (77)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (22)
Wins:  Framber Valdez (9)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (26)
ERA:  Hector Neris (1.35)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.289)
Hits:  Gleyber Torres (108)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (20)
RBI:  Gleyber Torres (45)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (20)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (10)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (15)
ERA:  Keynan Middleton (0.00)

Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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