Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/03/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Aug 02, 2023
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Thursday, August 3, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -110, Yankees -110; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -110, Yankees -110; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -110, Yankees -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Houston Astros:  61-47 (2nd place, AL West)
New York Yankees:  55-52 (5th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10



Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Astros entered their last series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1. They enter this game with a 61-47 record overall and have a road record of 31-22. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Ronel Blanco is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Cristian Javier is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-2 with an 4.33 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Yankees entered their last series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1. They enter this game with a 55-52 record overall and have a home record of 32-26. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Thursday with the 3rd game of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-6 with a 4.39 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.


Astros vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees are sitting at the bottom of the AL East right now but they still have a record above .500 and will be looking to use these home games to get on a run and get hot going into this final stretch of the season. The Astros have been playing really well lately but their offense hasn't been great in their games as they have been leaning on their pitching staff and the Yankees actually have the better pitching matchup here that they can take advantage of. The Astros are going with Javier in this game and he hasn't been great in his starts lately, giving up a lot more runs now. The Yankees haven't had the best offense lately but they have been better at home this season and will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here since Javier is going to put them in scoring position. Meanwhile, the Yankees have Schmidt starting in this game and he hasn't been lights out this season but he has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately, not giving up as many runs now. The Yankees are going to be motivated in this series against the Astros and they will try to use this home series to gain some momentum now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Astros Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 3, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Astros 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Houston Astros: 35-17 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 17-12 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 12-7 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. CRISTIAN JAVIER is 7-4 UNDER against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees: 16-28 (-13 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 29-33 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. CLARKE SCHMIDT is 8-3 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 9-5 UNDER in home games.

Key Injuries


Houston Astros:  J. Urquidy (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) out for season - Wrist. F. Montas (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Donaldson (3B) out for season - Calf. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“It’s a wonderful day. (Valdez) started out with a bang. He had his breaking ball from the very beginning … and you could tell he was on and he stayed on.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Tuesday.


“It’s on us as players. We’re fully capable with the guys we've got in this room to go out and compete on a daily basis. The results haven’t come, obviously, all year and we've still got two months left in the season and we've got a lot of work to do.” - Aaron Judge after their loss against the Rays in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Jose Abreu (R) 1B
Chas McCormick (R) LF
Yainer Diaz (R) DH
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C

New York Yankees
Jake Bauers (L) RF
Aaron Judge (R) DH
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF
Billy McKinney (L) CF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Kyle Tucker (.301)
Hits:  Kyle Tucker (116)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (19)
RBI:  Kyle Tucker (74)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (20)
Wins:  Framber Valdez (9)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (25)
ERA:  Kendall Graveman (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.296)
Hits:  Gleyber Torres (102)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (20)
RBI:  Gleyber Torres (45)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (19)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (14)
ERA:  Randy Vasquez (1.17)

Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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