Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/25/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Jun 24, 2022
Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Saturday, June 25, 2022
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  43-26 (1st place, AL West)
New York Yankees:  52-18 (1st place, AL East)
 
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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 43-26 record overall and they are 23-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 2-game series against the New York Mets 2-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Saturday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Justin Verlander is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Cristian Javier will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 4-3 with a 3.07 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 5 Ks on 2 hits in 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 13 runs in their last series averaging 6.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 5 runs against them averaging 2.5 runs allowed per game.
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game with a 52-18 record overall and they are 30-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Saturday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Luis Severino is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Gerrit Cole will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 6-1 with a 3.14 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 12 strikeouts on 1 hit in 7.1 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 13 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Astros vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They currently have the best record in the MLB and they already won the series opener over the Astros here. They were down 6-3 in that game for almost 6 innings before hitting a 3-run homerun in the 9th to tie the game 6-6 and then win it in that same inning with a walk-off base hit by Aaron Judge. That continued a 15 game winning streak at home for the Yankees this season and they have been a team that makes money all season just blindly betting on them. Cole is pitching against his old team here and that should light a fire under him to bring his best performance here. Javier is starting for the Astros and he has also been good this season but the pitching does not even matter too much after that series opener. The Yankees are a bet on team until they show signs of slowing down and they have shown nothing recently. The best bet here is on the Yankees to win this game at home.
 
Astros Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 25, 2022 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Astros 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 184-136 (-6.5 Units) ML in all games. 69-58 (-20 Units) ML when the total is 9 to 9.5. 43-23 UNDER in all games.
New York Yankees: 52-18 (+23.5 Units) ML in all games. 48-17 (+19.4 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 13-7 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  A. Diaz (SS) Ques Fri - Shoulder. J. Meyers (CF) Ques Fri - Shoulder. J. Pena (SS) Early July - Thumb.
New York Yankees:  D. German (SP) Late July - Shoulder. A. Chapman (RP) Early July - Achilles. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early July - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Things started unraveling and we couldn't put it back." - Dusty Baker after his team’s loss against the Yankees on Thursday.
 
 
"There's a sign on the way out to the dugout that says, ‘Do Your Job. That's what I tried to do in that situation." - Aaron Judge after their win against the Astros on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Michael Brantley (L) DH
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Mauricio Dubon (R) SS
Jose Siri (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Aaron Hicks (S) LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Jose Trevino (R) C
Joey Gallo (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.317)
Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (71)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (22)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (54)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (12)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (8)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (14)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (79)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (27)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (53)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (10)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (8)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (12)
ERA:  JP Sears (0.00)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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