Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/23/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, June 23, 2022
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +115, Yankees -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +120, Yankees -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +110, Yankees -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  42-25 (1st place, AL West)
New York Yankees:  50-18 (1st place, AL East)
 
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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 42-25 record overall and they are 23-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Thursday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the New York Mets still to be played on Wednesday. Luis Garcia is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Framber Valdez will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 2.78 ERA this season. His team won 7 of their last 8 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 8 hits in 6 IP against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 2 runs against them averaging 2 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game with a 50-18 record overall and they are 29-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Astros on Thursday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Wednesday. Jordan Montgomery is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Jameson Taillon will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 8-1 with a 2.70 ERA this season. His team won 11 of their last 12 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 8 strikeouts on 4 hits in 5.2 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging 3.5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Astros vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are coming into this game playing in their worst stretch over the last few weeks with 2 losses in their last 3 games. Both of these teams have been playing very well this season and they both have the top 2 records in the AL right now, but the Yankees are the only team in the MLB with 50 wins this season and lead the MLB in record as well. They have been playing well even in their recent losses as they have lost both by just 1 run and have been hitting the ball very well in these games. The Astros have also been winning a lot recently and scoring a lot of runs in their games so this could come down to pitching and the Yankees have the advantage there. Valdez is starting for the Astros here and he has been good this season but has been slipping up recently allowing a lot of runs in his last few starts. Taillon is starting for the Yankees here and he not only has the most wins on this pitching staff, but the Yankees have only lost 2 games all season in the games he has started in including no-decisions. The Yankees are the better team here still and the line will likely be favorable to take them here. The best bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
 
Astros Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 23, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Astros 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 35-43 (-9.2 Units) ML on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 82-78 (-11.6 Units) ML in road games. 24-22 UNDER in all games.
New York Yankees: 50-18 (+21.5 Units) ML in all games. 29-7 (+16.9 Units) ML in home games. 24-15 UNDER against AL West opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  A. Diaz (SS) Ques Wed - Shoulder. J. Meyers (CF) Early July - Shoulder. T. Jones (1B) Early July - Back.
New York Yankees:  I. Kiner-Falefa (3B) Ques Wed - Hamstring. A. Chapman (RP) Early July - Achilles. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early July - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"The location was good, and he had a very good breaking ball and changeup. And the location is the key." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Mets on Tuesday.
 
 
"Obviously I gave up a lot of hard contact. Maybe I didn't execute to where I wanted to execute. That was the biggest reason why you saw what happened today. If I would have executed better it would have been a different story." - Nestor Cortes after their loss against the Rays on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Michael Brantley (L) DH
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Chas McCormick (R) CF
Jason Castro (L) C
Mauricio Dubon (R) SS
 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Gleyber Torres (R) SS
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
Marwin Gonzalez (S) LF
Joey Gallo (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.312)
Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (67)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (19)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (49)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (12)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (8)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (13)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (75)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (25)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (50)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (10)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (8)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (11)
ERA:  JP Sears (0.00)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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