Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/29/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 28, 2022
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Mets +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Mets +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Mets +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  45-27 (1st place, AL West)
New York Mets:  47-27 (1st place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
The Astros were on a 2 game winning streak before entering this game off of a loss in their last one. They split their last series against the Houston Astros 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 45-27 record overall and have a road record of 25-16. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Framber Valdez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Justin Verlander will be making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-3 with a 2.22 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the New York Yankees. 
 
The Mets were on a 2 game winning streak before entering this game off of a loss in their last one. They won their last series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 47-27 record overall and have a home record of 24-10. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Astros on Wednesday with the 1st game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is on the mound on Tuesday while Trevor Williams will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-4 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 3 BB with 2 Ks on 4 hits through 4 IP against the Houston Astros. 

 

Astros vs Mets Prediction

There are no current betting odds listed for this game yet but both of these teams have been having great seasons so far. Both teams are currently leading their respective divisions and both have been making money this year just blindly betting each. That is not an option here though and considering the Astros have Verlander starting in this game, they have a significant advantage over the Mets here. The Astros just swept the Mets in 2 games last week and Verlander has been having another great season to add onto his already great career. He has had a few slip ups recently but is coming off of another great start and has ironed out whatever problems he was dealing with at the time. The Mets have Williams starting here and he has not been nearly as consistent this season, coming off of a start where he allowed 3 runs. The Astros have been pitching so well all season though and they just shut down a lineup as good as the Yankees in their last series, the Mets will struggle to score runs here as well. The best way to place a bet in this game is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Astros Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 29, 2022 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 5 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 45-27 (+7.7 Units) ML in all games. 25-16 (+6 Units) ML in road games. 45-23 UNDER in all games.
New York Mets: 150-146 (-23.9 Units) ML in all games. 55-61 (-7.4 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. TAIJUAN WALKER is 8-3 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  M. Brantley (LF) Ques Tues - Shoulder. J. James (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Odorizzi (SP) Early July - Leg.
New York Mets:  T. Jankowski (RF) Early July - Hand. J. McNeil (3B) Prob Tues - Hamstring. M. Scherzer (SP) Early July - Oblique.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That's the best game he's thrown." - Dusty Baker on Urquidy after his team’s loss against the Yankees on Sunday.
 
 
"Their guy pitched well, we knew that with the good cutter-slider mix. I think early on we had a chance to get something on, not let him get his feet on the ground. The good part is how well (Peterson) pitched." - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Marlins on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Michael Brantley (L) DH
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Mauricio Dubon (R) LF
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Canha (R) LF
J.D. Davis (R) DH
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
James McCann (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.312)
Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (72)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (22)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (54)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (13)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (9)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (15)
ERA:  Ryne Stanek (0.71)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Pete Alonso (76)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (22)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (69)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (8)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (8)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (16)
ERA:  Tommy Hunter (0.71)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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