Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2022

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 

Where to Watch:  TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

 

Houston Astros:  45-27 (1st place, AL West)

New York Mets:  47-27 (1st place, NL East)

 

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Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10

New York Mets:  6-4 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Astros were on a 2 game winning streak before entering this game off of a loss in their last one. They split their last series against the Houston Astros 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 45-27 record overall and have a road record of 25-16. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Mets on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. José Urquidy was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Framber Valdez will be making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-3 with a 2.90 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the New York Yankees. 

 

The Mets were on a 2 game winning streak before entering this game off of a loss in their last one. They won their last series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 47-27 record overall and have a home record of 24-10. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Astros on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. David Peterson was on the mound on Sunday while Carlos Carrasco will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-3 with a 4.42 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 3 HRs, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 4 hits through 2.1 IP against the Houston Astros. 

The current betting odds have the Astros as a slight underdog in this game. They have been playing very well in their games recently and just went toe-to-toe with the best team in the MLB right now. They split their series with the Yankees but easily could have won if their bullpen did not collapse late in their 2 losses, allowing the Yankees to score runs in the 8th and 9th innings to tie and eventually go on to win. They just swept the Mets last week in another 2-game series and now they are on the road here where they have actually been a better team this season. The Mets have also been playing very well as they are one of the best teams in the NL with their record but they do not have the bats or the pitching that the Astros have and getting them at this cheap price is some very good value. Both of these starting pitchers have been having good seasons but Valdez has been a little better than Carrasco has been and Valdez has the bullpen to back him up. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.

 

Astros Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 28, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 3 Mets 1.

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Houston Astros: 45-27 (+7.7 Units) ML in all games. 25-16 (+6 Units) ML in road games. 45-23 UNDER in all games.

New York Mets: 150-146 (-23.9 Units) ML in all games. 46-49 (-7.6 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 32-20 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.

 

 

Houston Astros:  M. Brantley (LF) Ques Tues - Shoulder. J. James (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Odorizzi (SP) Early July - Leg.

New York Mets:  T. Jankowski (RF) Early July - Hand. J. McNeil (3B) Prob Tues - Hamstring. M. Scherzer (SP) Early July - Oblique.

 

 

 

"That's the best game he's thrown." - Dusty Baker on Urquidy after his team’s loss against the Yankees on Sunday.

 

 

"Their guy pitched well, we knew that with the good cutter-slider mix. I think early on we had a chance to get something on, not let him get his feet on the ground. The good part is how well (Peterson) pitched." - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Marlins on Sunday.

 

 

 

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Michael Brantley (L) DH

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Kyle Tucker (L) RF

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Jeremy Pena (R) SS

Mauricio Dubon (R) LF

Jake Meyers (R) CF

Martin Maldonado (R) C

 

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Mark Canha (R) LF

J.D. Davis (R) DH

Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B

Luis Guillorme (L) 2B

James McCann (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.312)

Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (72)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (22)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (54)

Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (13)

Wins:  Justin Verlander (9)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (15)

ERA:  Ryne Stanek (0.71)

 

Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (76)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (22)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (69)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (8)

Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (8)

Saves:  Edwin Diaz (16)

ERA:  Tommy Hunter (0.71)

 

Managers:

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)