Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2024

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 7, 2024

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN 

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +110, Twins -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +110, Twins -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +110, Twins -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Houston Astros:  46-42 (2nd place, AL West)

Minnesota Twins:  49-39 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Houston Astros:  8-2 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-42 record overall and have a road record of 22-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Astros won the series opener of this series on friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Hunter Brown is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Spencer Arrighetti is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-7 with a 6.13 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HR, and 4 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-39 record overall and have a home record of 25-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Twins lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Joe Ryan is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Simeon Woods Richardson is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros haven't looked great in their games this season with their 46-42 record overall, but they have finally pulled themselves back over .500 after a terrible start to the season and have themselves back in the playoff race. They haven't looked great in their road games with their 22-23 road record. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked really good in their games this season with their 49-39 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central, right behind the Guardians in 1st place, and they have also looked good in their ballpark with their 25-18 home record. The Astros took the 1st game of this series in a 13-12 win, but both of these offenses have been getting really hot. Both teams have looked good over the last week, but the Twins have the better pitching matchup for this one and that will help them get the win here. The Twins have Woods Richardson on the mound and he is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up a lot of runs all season. The team has also won their last 2 games with him starting. The Astros are going to have their rookie Arrighetti on the mound in this one but he hasn't looked great in a lot of his starts this year, especially in his road starts. He is 4-7 with a 6.13 ERA and he is coming off a start in which he gave up 6 earned runs, something that has been a common theme for him this year. The Twins are hitting well right now and they will be able to take advantage of the way this rookie has been on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Astros Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 7, 2024 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 8 Astros 4.

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Houston Astros: 33-44 (-13.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 77 games. 37-40 (-10.15 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 77 games. 33-20 to the over with their team total in their last 53 games.

Minnesota Twins: 43-26 (+8.80 units) on the moneyline in their last 69 games. 10-3 (+10.30 units) on the runline in their last 13 games. 17-6 to the over in their last 23 games. 

Houston Astros:  J. Bloss (SP) - Shoulder. V. Caratini (C) - Hip. J. Verlander (SP) - Neck. C. Javier (SP) - Forearm. K. Tucker (RF) - Shin. J. Urquidy (SP) - Forearm. O. Ortega (RP) - Elbow. J. Sousa (RP) - Shoulder. W. Murfee (SP) - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) - Elbow. L. McCullers (SP) - Elbow. K. Graveman (RP) - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Paddack (SP) - Arm. A. Kirilloff (LF) - Back J. Topa (RP) - Knee. B. Stewart (RP) - Shoulder. D. Duarte (RP) - Triceps. Z. Weiss (RP) - Shoulder. A. DeSclafani (SP) - Elbow.

"When he tried to grab Jeremiah's hand there wasn't much strength. That's why we removed him from the game." - Joe Espada after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Friday.

"These are all very good swings. We're not talking about a guy that ... got a bunch of seeing-eye singles and softly hit balls. As far as I can remember all these swings are just terrific swings. He's having great at-bats that are leading to the swings. He's laying off the tough pitches and when he gets a pitch to hit, he's hitting a line drive somewhere hard.” - Rocco Baldelli on Miranda after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Friday.

A Bregman (R) 3B

J Peña (R) SS

Y Alvarez (L) DH

Y Diaz (R) C

J Singleton (L) 1B

J Meyers (R) CF

M Dubón (R) 2B

C McCormick (R) LF

J Loperfido (L) RF

W Castro (S) 2B

C Correa (R) SS

T Larnach (L) LF

J Miranda (R) 3B

C Santana (S) 1B

M Kepler (L) RF

B Buxton (R) CF

R Jeffers (R) C

B Lee (S) DH

Batting Average:  César Salazar (.368)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (111)

Home Runs:  Kyle Tucker (19)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (50)

Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (13)

Wins:  Ronel Blanco (8)

Saves:  Josh Hader (15)

ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Brooks Lee (.545)

Hits:  Willi Castro (82)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (46)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Pablo López (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (13)

ERA:  Josh Staumont (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)