Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Thursday, May 12, 2022
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Twins +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Twins +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Twins +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  19-11 (2nd place, AL West)
Minnesota Twins:  18-12 (1st place, AL Central)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns has made $81K (10*) MLB! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Houston Astros:  8-2 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 19-11 record overall and they are 10-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on an 8 game winning streak. They just won their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 4-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Thursday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. José Urquidy is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Luis Garcia is on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 2-1 with a 3.45 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits in 7 IP against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging 3.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 6 runs against them averaging 1.5 runs allowed per game.
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with an 18-12 record overall and they are 11-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Astros on Thursday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Chris Archer is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Josh Winder will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits in 6 IP against the Oakland Athletics. They scored 7 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 4 runs against them averaging just over 1 run allowed per game.
 

 

Astros vs Twins Prediction

The Astros are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. The Astros are coming into this game on a roll and they have really been heating up recently as they have won their last 8 straight games. Verlander pitched very well in their series opener going very deep into the game which will help save some arms in the bullpen for the rest of this series. The Astros have also been hitting the ball very well and they are going up against a Twins team here that is missing some key pieces from their lineup. They are missing a few of their biggest hitters on the team here and that will only hurt them more as this series goes on. The Astros have been pitching well so it will be hard for the Twins to win this game with their pitching and if their lineup cannot produce runs either, they will not be able to keep up in this game. The best bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Astros Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, May 12, 2022 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Astros 3 Twins 0.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Houston Astros Minnesota Twins prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
 

MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 130-76 (+3.6 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 83-60 (+7.8 Units) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 21-8 UNDER in all games.
Minnesota Twins: 127-127 (-19.2 Units) ML in all games. 35-41 (-18.6 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 17-11 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  A. Diaz (SS) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. J. Meyers (CF) Mid May - Shoulder. T. Jones (1B) Out indefinitely - Back.
Minnesota Twins:  C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger. B. Buxton (CF) Ques Wed - Hip. M. Sano (3B) Out indefinitely - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"The guy's a horse. When he pitches, the guys stay alert. He gets the ball quickly. He doesn't mess around on the mound, so you keep the defense sharp when you do that." - Dusty Baker on Verlander after his team’s win against the Twins on Tuesday.
 
 
"I was really looking forward to it. I'm very happy I get to see them again, get to spend some time with them. They were not teammates. They were family." - Carlos Correa after seeing his old team after their loss against the Astros on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Michael Brantley (L) LF
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Chas McCormick (R) CF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 
Minnesota Twins
Max Kepler (L) RF
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Gary Sanchez (R) DH
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Royce Lewis (R) SS
Alex Kirilloff (L) LF
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Michael Brantley (.275)
Hits:  Michael Brantley (28)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (8)
RBI:  Alex Bregman (19)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (7)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (4)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (4)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Gilberto Celestino (.333)
Hits:  Jorge Polanco (25)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (9)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (17)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (3)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (4)
ERA:  Joe Smith (0.00)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.