Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2022

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Wednesday, May 11, 2022

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Twins +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Twins +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Twins +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

 

Houston Astros:  18-11 (2nd place, AL West)

Minnesota Twins:  18-11 (1st place, AL Central)

 

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Houston Astros:  8-2 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10

 

 

 

The Astros are coming into this game with an 18-11 record overall and they are 9-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 7 game winning streak. They just won their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 4-0 completing the sweep, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Wednesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Justin Verlander is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while José Urquidy is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 2-1 with a 4.56 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits in 6 IP against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging 3.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 6 runs against them averaging 1.5 runs allowed per game.

 

The Twins are coming into this game with an 18-11 record overall and they are 11-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 3 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 3-0 completing the sweep, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Joe Ryan is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Chris Archer will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 3.26 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HRs, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits in 4 IP against the Baltimore Orioles. They scored 7 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 4 runs against them averaging just over 1 run allowed per game.

 

The Astros are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their recent games as they just swept their last 2 series played and they have been hitting the ball much better in that span as well. They are going up against a Twins team that has also been playing very well this season but has started to cool off a little with their hitting and their lineup will be missing some of their biggest hitters in this game as well. The Twins do not really have a lot of depth in the lineup to cover the players they have lost to injury and the amount of scoring production that they produce alone will not be made up so easily by the rest of the team. The Astros have been hitting the ball very well but they have not been scoring a lot of runs in their games either. They have been getting a lot of chances though and will likely keep on getting guys on base in this game with chances to score. The offense in its current state for the Twins will not be able to keep up with the Astros in this game. The best bet here is on the Astros to win this game.

 

Astros Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 11, 2022 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Astros 7 Twins 4.

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Houston Astros: 82-60 (+6.8 Units) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 14-5 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 20-8 UNDER in all games.

Minnesota Twins: 127-126 (-18.2 Units) ML in all games. 35-41 (-18.6 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 7-1 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

 

 

Houston Astros:  A. Diaz (SS) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. J. Meyers (CF) Mid May - Shoulder. T. Jones (1B) Out indefinitely - Back.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Correa (SS) Doub Tues - Finger. B. Buxton (CF) Ques Tues - Hip. M. Sano (3B) Out indefinitely - Knee.

 

 

 

"Pitching is the name of the game. Our guys are going deep in the games so our bullpen isn't too stretched out. This was the last of the 17 (games) in a row so we urged our guys to finish strong. That's what stands out is the way that they've battled and fought and won a lot of close games." - Dusty Baker on his team’s win against the Tigers on Sunday

 

 

"It's been different guys stepping up and that's a little bit of our identity right now." - Jayce Tingler after his team’s win against the A’s on Sunday.

 

 

 

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Michael Brantley (L) LF

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Yordan Alvarez (L) DH

Kyle Tucker (L) RF

Aledmys Diaz (R) SS

Niko Goodrum (S) 1B

Jason Castro (L) C

Jose Siri (R) CF

 

Max Kepler (L) RF

Jose Miranda (R) DH

Jorge Polanco (S) 2B

Gary Sanchez (R) C

Nick Gordon (L) LF

Gio Urshela (R) 3B

Royce Lewis (R) SS

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Gilberto Celestino (R) CF

 

 

Batting Average:  Michael Brantley (.273)

Hits:  Michael Brantley (27)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (8)

RBI:  Alex Bregman (17)

Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (5)

Wins:  Justin Verlander (3)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (4)

ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Gilberto Celestino (.324)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (24)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (9)

RBI:  Byron Buxton (17)

Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)

Wins:  Dylan Bundy (3)

Saves:  Emilio Pagan (4)

ERA:  Joe Smith (0.00)

 

Managers:

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)