by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Jun 24, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Sunday, June 25, 2023
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Astros +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Astros +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Astros +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Houston Astros: 41-35 (2nd place, AL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 42-33 (3rd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Houston Astros: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Astros are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-35 record overall and have a road record of 19-16. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Ronel Blanco is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Hunter Brown is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-4 with a 3.78 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits through 5.2 IP against the New York Mets.
The Dodgers are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Angels in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-33 record overall and have a home record of 23-14. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Tony Gonsolin is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-2 with a 2.92 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.2 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.
Astros vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers haven't been having the best season this year as they are in 3rd place of their division right now but they are still 9 games over .500 and are starting to get on a roll now with 3 wins in a row. The Dodgers have also been a lot better in their home games this season while the Astros haven't been great in their road games and have already been struggling in their own division too. The Astros offense hasn't been good this season and they have been dealing with a lot of injuries to their starting pitchers too. They have Brown starting here and he hasn't been bad this season but he gave up 6 runs in his last start and is not going to just bounce back on the road here as the Dodgers still have a top 5 offense in the MLB. The Dodgers are going with Gonsolin in this game and he has been the 1 constant in their starting rotation as they are also dealing with a lot of injuries to starters. Gonsolin is also coming off a bad start in his last one as he gave up 7 earned runs but he has been a solid and consistent starter all season and will be looking to bounce back at home here with the Astros offense not putting a ton of runs up in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Astros Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 25, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Astros 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Houston Astros: 41-35 (-4.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-19 (-4.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. HUNTER BROWN is 7-2 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 and 5-2 UNDER in road games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 15-4 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 32-21 (+3.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. TONY GONSOLIN is 14-6 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 9-3 UNDER in day games.
Key Injuries
Houston Astros: M. Brantley (DH) Out Indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Late July - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. Y. Alvarez (LF) Mid July - Oblique. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Taylor (SS) Ques Sat - Knee. S. Miller (RP) Late July - Neck. D. Hudson (RP) Early July - Knee. J. Urias (SP) Early July - Hamstring. M. Muncy (3B) Early July - Hamstring. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. T. Thompson (LF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. May (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Pepiot (SP) Mid July - Oblique. J. Nelson (RP) Mid July - Elbow. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“They say time heals all wounds and somebody has got to heal this one.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Friday.
“We've got a reloaded bullpen and they're performing.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Mauricio Dubon (R) 1B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yainer Diaz (R) DH
Corey Julks (R) LF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Chas McCormick (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Miguel Vargas (R) 2B
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Michael Busch (L) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Houston Astros
Batting Average: Mauricio Dubon (.291)
Hits: Kyle Tucker (73)
Home Runs: Yordan Alvarez (17)
RBI: Yordan Alvarez (55)
Stolen Bases: Kyle Tucker (14)
Wins: Cristian Javier (7)
Saves: Ryan Pressly (14)
ERA: Hector Neris (1.16)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.319)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (95)
Home Runs: Max Muncy (18)
RBI: J.D. Martinez (48)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (10)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (9)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
