Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/07/2022

by Rod Pearson

Game Time: 12:05 pm ET, Sunday, August 7, 2022
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  Peacock

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -150, Guardians +130; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -150, Guardians +130; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -150, Guardians +130; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  70-38 (1st place, AL West)
Cleveland Guardians:  54-52 (3rd place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis

 
The Astros enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. They lost their last series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 70-38 record overall and have a road record of 36-21. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Luis Garcia is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Cristian Javier is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-7 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox. 
 
The Guardians enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They won their last series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 54-52 record overall and have a home record of 27-22. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Cal Quantrill is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Triston McKenzie is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-8 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. 

 

Astros vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros as a favorite in this game. The Astros have been playing very well recently as they are winning a lot of their games and they have been doing it by producing a lot of offense in these games. They have been scoring runs in this series while the Guardians have struggled to score runs with this Astros pitching staff pitching very well recently. The Astros also have Javier starting here and he has been very good all season, and coming off of another great start where he did not allow many runs. McKenzie is starting for the Guardians here and he has also been pitching very well recently but he is coming off of a start where he allowed 4 runs and has been slipping up a little in his recent starts. This is not the time for him to be falling out of form here as the Astros are hitting very well in their recent games scoring a lot of runs, and the Guardians have fallen to 3rd in the AL Central now as they begin to slip down the standings. These teams are trending in opposite directions right now and the Astros are just playing much better. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Astros Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 7, 2022 (12:05 pm ET start time) is Astros 7 Guardians 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 70-38 (+10.8 Units) ML in all games. 36-21 (+7.5 Units) ML in road games. 65-39 UNDER in all games.
Cleveland Guardians: 64-98 (-10.6 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 27-28 (-8 Units) ML at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 16-12 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 to +175.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  M. Brantley (LF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Castro (C) out for season - Knee. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Late Aug - Forearm.
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Gose (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. C. Morris (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. A. Civale (SP) Mid Aug - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It took me a long time. I finally got one." - Trey Mancini on his grand slam in their win against the Guardians on Friday.
 
 
"Ya know we didn't find out until about the fifth inning. I knew Dusty wasn't there. I hope he's OK. I mean, man, he's near and dear to everybody. He's so much of what's good in baseball. I hope it just feels like he has the flu or an allergy and is back because we care about him." - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Astros on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Trey Mancini (R) DH
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Chas McCormick (R) RF
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Oscar Gonzalez (R) RF
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Owen Miller (R) DH
Tyler Freeman (R) 2B
Luke Maile (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.306)
Hits:  Jose Altuve (100)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (30)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (73)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (16)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (15)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (21)
ERA:  Ryne Stanek (1.21)
 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.297)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (119)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (21)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (86)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (14)
Wins:  Triston McKenzie (7)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (23)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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