Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 17, 2022
Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Wednesday, May 18, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  NESN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -155, Red Sox +135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -155, Red Sox +135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -155, Red Sox +135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  23-13 (1st place, AL West)
Boston Red Sox:  14-21 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Houston Astros:  8-2 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 23-13 record overall and they are 14-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. José Urquidy is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Luis Garcia is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 5 hits in 5 IP against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 20 runs in their last series averaging just under 7 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 14-21 record overall and they are 5-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Astros on Wednesday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Nathan Eovaldi is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Nick Pivetta is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 1-4 with a 5.08 ERA this season. His team lost 6 of their last 7 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits in 7 innings played against the Texas Rangers. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Astros vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are coming into this game as an underdog with the current betting odds. They have been playing awfully this season but have finally won some games now putting a streak together and they should start to play better as they are not a bad team. They have a lot of good players in their lineup and they have been starting to wake up recently, hitting the ball very well in their games and scoring a lot of runs as well. They are going up against an Astros team that has been playing very well recently, coming off of a massive winning streak where they were very hot but they have cooled off a little now and have lost 2 of their last 3 games. Garcia is starting for the Astros here and he has been alright this season with some mediocre starts but he has been letting a lot of guys get on base and it has not come back to bite him yet but it is only a matter of time until a team makes him pay with the number of times he has gotten into trouble in an inning this season. The Red Sox are playing much better now and they will make him pay in this game with the way they have been hitting the ball recently. Pivetta has not been great for the Red Sox this season but he is coming off of his best start of the season in his last game where he did not allow a run and lasted 7 innings deep into the game. The best bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game at home now that they are starting to heat up.
 
Astros Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 18, 2022 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 9 Astros 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 19-6 (+10.4 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 22-13 (+6.6 Units) ML in all games. 24-9 UNDER in all games.
Boston Red Sox: 14-21 (-9.4 Units) ML in all games. 5-9 (-6.1 Units) ML in home games. 20-10 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  J. Pena (SS) Ques Tues - Knee. J. Meyers (CF) Late May - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Mid July - Forearm.
Boston Red Sox:  C. Sale (SP) Mid June - Ribs. J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Wacha (SP) Late May - Upper Body.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I'm not surprised. Water seeks its own level. I wasn't worried about Yuli. He was probably more worried about himself than I was worried about him. Yuli's going to hit." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Nationals on Sunday.
 
 
"He's not the first guy in that situation. From my end, he's the shortstop, and he plays every day and he's a good player." - Alex Cora on Xander Bogaerts after their win against the Astros on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (D) 2B
Michael Brantley (Z) LF
Alex Bregman (D) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (Z) DH
Yuli Gurriel (D) 1B
Kyle Tucker (Z) RF
Chas McCormick (D) CF
Jason Castro (Z) C
Mauricio Dubon (D) SS
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) 1B
Kevin Plawecki (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Michael Brantley (.281)
Hits:  Michael Brantley (34)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (11)
RBI:  Alex Bregman (22)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (8)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (5)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (4)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (47)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (6)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (19)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (4)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)
Saves:  Hansel Robles (2)
ERA:  John Schreiber (0.00)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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