Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, May 16, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, May 17, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  TBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  23-12 (1st place, AL West)
Boston Red Sox:  13-21 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Houston Astros:  9-1 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 23-12 record overall and they are 14-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 12 of their last 13 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Jake Odorizzi is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while José Urquidy is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 2-1 with a 4.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits in 3 IP against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 20 runs in their last series averaging just under 7 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 13-21 record overall and they are 4-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Tuesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Garrett Whitlock is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Nathan Eovaldi is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits in 6.1 innings played against the Atlanta Braves. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Astros vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. The Red Sox have been a much better team at home this season than on the road but they finally some rhythm at the end of their road trip with 2 big wins in Texas to take that series against the Rangers. They are back at home for this game and they have Eovaldi starting here who has had a few rough starts in his last few but he has been a good pitcher overall and will be looking to bounce back in this game. They are going up against an Astros team that has been very hot recently as they have been winning a lot of their games and have really started to hit the ball much better. Urquidy is starting though and he has not been the best this season so the Red Sox will likely find ways to score on him and get their hits now that they have started to wake up with their bats in the last series. This is a good spot for the Red Sox to steal a game at home from a very hot team right now. The best bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
 
Astros Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 17, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 8 Astros 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 22-12 (+7.6 Units) ML in all games. 13-8 (+3.9 Units) ML in road games. 24-9 UNDER in all games.
Boston Red Sox: 13-21 (-10.4 Units) ML in all games. 4-9 (-7.2 Units) ML in home games. 20-10 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  J. Pena (SS) Ques Mon - Knee. J. Meyers (CF) Late May - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Mid July - Forearm.
Boston Red Sox:  C. Sale (SP) Mid June - Ribs. J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Wacha (SP) Late May - Upper Body.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I'm not surprised. Water seeks its own level. I wasn't worried about Yuli. He was probably more worried about himself than I was worried about him. Yuli's going to hit." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Nationals on Sunday.
 
 
"He crushed that pitch. Maybe it should be me going to the mound. We had the lefty ready for Calhoun. A swing and miss, a walk, two outs. Take the next matchup and see what happens." - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Rangers on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (D) 2B
Michael Brantley (Z) DH
Alex Bregman (D) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (Z) LF
Yuli Gurriel (D) 1B
Aledmys Diaz (D) SS
Jose Siri (D) CF
Chas McCormick (D) RF
Martin Maldonado (D) C
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (D) CF
Rafael Devers (Z) 3B
J.D. Martinez (D) DH
Xander Bogaerts (D) SS
Trevor Story (D) 2B
Christian Arroyo (D) RF
Alex Verdugo (Z) LF
Bobby Dalbec (D) 1B
Kevin Plawecki (D) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Jeremy Pena (.276)
Hits:  Michael Brantley (32)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (11)
RBI:  Alex Bregman (22)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (8)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (5)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (4)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (46)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (6)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (19)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (3)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  John Schreiber (0.00)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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