Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/16/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, May 15, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Monday, May 16, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +110, Red Sox -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Houston Astros:  22-12 (1st place, AL West)
Boston Red Sox:  13-20 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Houston Astros:  9-1 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 22-12 record overall and they are 13-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 11 of their last 12 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped an 11 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Monday. This will be the series opener of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Washington Nationals still to be played on Sunday. Justin Verlander is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while José Urquidy is on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 2-1 with a 4.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits in 3 IP against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 21 runs in their last series averaging 7 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 3 runs against them averaging 1 run allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 13-20 record overall and they are 9-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just split their 2-game series against the Atlanta Braves 1-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Astros on Monday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Texas Rangers still to be played on Sunday. Austin Davis is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Nathan Eovaldi is on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits in 6.1 innings played against the Atlanta Braves. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 4.5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Astros vs Red Sox Prediction

The Astros are coming into this game playing very well in their recent games and they have really been heating up. They were on an 11 game win streak before losing a game in their last series but they have been hitting the ball well in those games and pitching even better. They are going up against a Red Sox team that has finally woken up after an awful start and is starting to win some games while scoring a lot of runs. They have been very inconsistent this season though and their pitching has been very hit or miss in their games. The Astros are heating up and they are not a team to step in front of when they are playing very well. The best bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Astros Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, May 16, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 9 Red Sox 6.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Houston Astros: 72-72 (-12.8 Units) ML in road games. 27-30 (-6.7 Units) ML on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 24-9 UNDER in all games.
Boston Red Sox: 26-21 (+6.6 Units) ML after 5 or more consecutive road games. 10-3 UNDER after scoring 2 runs or less. 20-10 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Houston Astros:  J. Pena (SS) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Altuve (2B) Ques Sun - Leg. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Mid July - Forearm.
Boston Red Sox:  A. Verdugo (RF) Ques Sun - Foot. J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Wacha (SP) Late May - Upper Body.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We weren't gonna win every game. I would love to, but it was their night. We just have to brush that one off and start a new streak tomorrow." - Dusty Baker after his team’s loss against the Nationals on Saturday.
 
 
"Nothing has changed. Just we got off to a bad start, and we know where we're at." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Rangers on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Houston Astros
Jose Siri (R) CF
Michael Brantley (L) LF
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Aledmys Diaz (R) SS
Niko Goodrum (S) 2B
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) LF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Michael Brantley (.277)
Hits:  Michael Brantley (31)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (11)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (21)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (8)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (4)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (4)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (43)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (6)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (18)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (2)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  John Schreiber (0.00)
 
Managers:
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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