Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/10/2023

Game Time: 12:35 pm ET, Thursday, August 10, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -118, Orioles -102; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -118, Orioles -102; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -118, Orioles -102; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Houston Astros:  65-49 (2nd place, AL West)

Baltimore Orioles:  70-43 (1st place, AL East)

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Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the New York Yankees 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-49 record overall and have a road record of 34-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Cristian Javier is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Hunter Brown is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 8-7 with a 4.07 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the New York Mets in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-43 record overall and have a home record of 35-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Jack Flaherty is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 10-4 with a 4.61 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.1 innings played against the New York Mets.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling in their games lately as they have taken over the lead of the AL East and continue to win games as they try to extend their lead even more. The Astros have also been rolling in their games lately though as they look to chase down the Rangers in 1st place of the AL West. The Astros have been starting to get hot lately and they pulled off a big comeback win in this series opener, but the Orioles have been really good in their home games all season and they will be looking to get that game back with a series win too. The Orioles are going with Kremer in this game and he hasn't been lights out this season but he hasn't been giving up many runs lately and he is a reliable starter for the Orioles. The Astros are going with Brown in this game and he hasn't been terrible this season but he does give up more runs in his road starts and he will be vulnerable to giving up a ton of runs with how hot this Orioles offense has been at home. The Orioles are going to be looking to send a message to the defending World Series champions here so look for the Orioles to strike back in a big way in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Astros Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 10, 2023 (12:35 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Astros 5.

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Houston Astros: 67-49 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 19-25 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. HUNTER BROWN is 3-0 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5 and 4-0 OVER after giving up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings. 

Baltimore Orioles: 70-43 (+31 units) on the moneyline in all games. 54-30 (+25 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 22-13 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 28-19 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Houston Astros:  M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Frazier (2B) Ques Wed - Thumb. D. Tate (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. K. Akin (RP) Mid Aug - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Mid Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. J. Means (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I was just trying to get something over the plate and just kind of grind through it. I was just able to catch one out in front and time it well and put a good swing on it.” - Kyle Tucker after their win against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.

“I got ejected with my back turned. That’s what upset me. I just didn’t think it was necessary to throw me out.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Tuesday.

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Yordan Alvarez (L) LF

Kyle Tucker (L) RF

Yainer Diaz (R) DH

Jose Abreu (R) 1B

Jeremy Pena (R) SS

Jake Meyers (R) CF

Martin Maldonado (R) C

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Austin Hays (R) LF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Jorge Mateo (R) CF

Batting Average:  Kyle Tucker (.297)

Hits:  Kyle Tucker (121)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (21)

RBI:  Kyle Tucker (82)

Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (24)

Wins:  Framber Valdez (9)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (27)

ERA:  Hector Neris (1.52)

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.307)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (112)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (20)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (63)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (25)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (11)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (30)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)