Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/08/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, August 8, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Orioles +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Orioles +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Orioles +105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Houston Astros:  64-49 (2nd place, AL West)

Baltimore Orioles:  70-42 (1st place, AL East)

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Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  8-2 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the New York Yankees 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-49 record overall and have a road record of 33-24. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. José Urquidy was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Framber Valdez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 0 hits through 9 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the New York Mets in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-42 record overall and have a home record of 35-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Kyle Bradish was their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-3 with a 6.09 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been killing it all season as they lead the AL East and are the only team in the entire AL with 70 wins this season. The Astros have also been rolling in their games lately though as they got off to a slower start this year after winning the World Series but now they are getting hot again and have been a lot better over the last few weeks. The Astros have one of the best bullpens in the MLB too while the Orioles have definitely struggled with their bullpen and their pitching staff in general. It doesn't help that they will have their rookie Rodriguez on the mound here and he hasn't been great in his rookie year since he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all season. The Astros are also going to have Valdez on the mound for them and he has been great all season but also in his starts lately as he pitched a no-hitter in his last start. The Orioles have been hot but the Astros have a really good pitching staff that will keep the Orioles lineup at bay and the Astros are the ones with the edge in this game due to their pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.

Astros Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 8, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Astros 3 Orioles 0.

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Houston Astros: 18-25 (-12.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 31-28 (-4.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 44-23 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -175. 15-8 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better.

Baltimore Orioles: 70-42 (+32 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-27 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 19-10 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 27-19 UNDER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs.

Houston Astros:  R. Pressly (RP) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (LF) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. D. Tate (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. K. Akin (RP) Mid Aug - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Mid Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. J. Means (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“Just didn’t seem like that game was going to end. We helped them, they helped us. Hard-fought victory for us.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Sunday.

“Cole Irvin, outstanding. Fuji, that was the best stuff we've seen from Fuji. It's going to take all those guys down there the rest of the way. You hate to see Danny and Cano down. That was my decision.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Sunday.

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Yordan Alvarez (L) LF

Kyle Tucker (L) DH

Chas McCormick (R) RF

Jose Abreu (R) 1B

Jeremy Pena (R) SS

Jake Meyers (R) CF

Martin Maldonado (R) C

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Ryan McKenna (R) LF

Jorge Mateo (R) CF

Batting Average:  Kyle Tucker (.295)

Hits:  Kyle Tucker (119)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (21)

RBI:  Kyle Tucker (77)

Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (23)

Wins:  Framber Valdez (9)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (26)

ERA:  Hector Neris (1.52)

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.308)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (111)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (20)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (63)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (25)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (11)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (30)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)