by Chuck Sommers
Friday, Oct 07, 2022
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Where to watch: CBS Sports Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: San Diego State -21.5
FanDuel: San Diego State -21.5
BetMGM: San Diego State -21.5
Caesars: San Diego State -21.5
Season record
Hawaii: 1-4
San Diego State: 2-3 (0-1 Mountain West
Another week, another crazy set of circumstances in college football! Georgia almost loss, Bryce Young left but Alabama still won, etc. All the craziness, all the drama through a month into the season. What in the world are we getting next? How about starting with a 6-1-0 run from Kyle Hunter this past weekend? Our top handicapper in the college football realm had himself a very good week. What will next week have in store with a lot of shakings in the top 25 to be expected? Make sure to follow all of our champion handicappers and their picks in our Best Bets section, where you can expect more of Kyle's and others' picks to get you on the right side of winning this week at bigal.com.
Hawaii - San Diego State preview, analysis and prediction
Last week
Hawaii: lost 45-26 at New Mexico State
San Diego State: lost 35-13 at Boise State
There may not be a worse matchup in the Mountain West Conference this week than the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors looking for something to cheer about, against the San Diego State Aztecs who probably just need a hug because all the Aztecs can do is beat the likes of Toledo and Idaho State.
There may not be a worse matchup in the Mountain West Conference this week than the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors looking for something to cheer about, against the San Diego State Aztecs who probably just need a hug because all the Aztecs can do is beat the likes of Toledo and Idaho State.
But it’s not like Hawaii has done any better in recent memory. This is a group that lost to Vanderbilt in its first game of the season by 53 points, and the only win on the register is against Duquesne back on Sept. 17. The Rainbow Warriors went into their bye week fresh off a 45-26 loss to New Mexico State, so they’ve had a chance to stew over how bad it’s been.
Hawaii took a 7-0 lead but nothing else materialized after that. They gave up 353 rushing yards in what was an absolute display of horrid run defense. New Mexico State had jumped all the way out to a 35-10 lead and the game never lasted after that. Hawaii quarterback Braden Schager actually had a decent game going 22 of 39 for 261 yards and a touchdown. But there’s not much more to actually like when it comes to a Hawaii offense. Especially when the defense is giving up as much as it is. Let’s put it this way: If you’re allowing the opposing running back to hit for 144 yards on just 11 carries, you might need to reassess the situation in life.
But think of it this way if you’re Hawaii: There’s no way San Diego State knows how to run that well to make things problematic for Hawaii. The Aztecs’ offense isn’t going to be able to make anything work out of this. The Aztecs are coming off a 35-13 loss to Boise State in which San Diego State had a grand total of 114 total yards. Surely, Hawaii is quivering in its boots with that lack of offense.
San Diego State quarterback Braxton Burmesiter was just 2 of 8 for 33 yards and an interception. And that’s quite literally all the offense could do. There was no establishing of running the ball, no nothing. It was just an abhorrent display of offense that we can only hope will never be shown again. Sounds like a Brady Hoke-ran offense.
Prediction
If you have enough money to slam the under on this week, we’d advise that you’d do that. I’m also not saying it won’t end in a 3-0 game, but it might at this point. Hawaii by 3
Betting trends
Hawaii iss 11-15 ATS in the last three seasons.
Hawaii is 20-38 ATS since 1992 when allowing 125 passing yards or fewer in the last game.
San Diego State is 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a favorite.
Statistical leaders
Hawaii:
Passing: Brayden Schager -- 659 yards, 1 TD, 4 INT
Rushing: Dedrick Parson -- 266 yards, 6 TD
Receiving: Jonah Panoke -- 172 yards
San Diego State:
Passing: Braxton Burmeister -- 263 yards, 2 TD, 3 INT
Rushing: Jordan Byrd -- 285 yards, 3 TD
Receiving: Jesse Matthews -- 94 yards
Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Hawaii Rainbow Warriors - San Diego State Aztecs prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NCAA projections and previews.
Chuck Sommers
About the Author:
Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.
