Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 16, 2021
Venue: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Hawaii +14, Nevada -14; Over/Under: 60.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Hawaii +14, Nevada -14; Over/Under: 60.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Hawaii +14.5, Nevada -14.5; Over/Under: 61 points
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 3-3 (4th place, MW West)
Nevada Wolf Pack: 4-1 (2nd place, MW West)
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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Nevada Wolf Pack Preview and Analysis
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: won at home on Oct. 2 against the Fresno State Bulldogs 27-24.
Nevada Wolf Pack: won at home on Oct. 9 against the New Mexico State Aggies 55-28.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Analysis
Hawaii is coming into this game with a 3-3 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came at home against the San Jose State Spartans while their 1 win came in their last game against Fresno State. They won that game 27-24 in a game that they trailed the entire time and had to make a late 4th quarter comeback to win. Brayden Schager was alright in that game as he completed 11/27 passes for 116 yards and 2 touchdowns. Dae Dae Hunter had a great day on the ground as he led the team in rushing yards with 127 on 21 carries while Calvin Turner Jr. had 59 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries. Turner Jr. also led the receivers in that game with 41 yards and 1 touchdown while Caleb Phillips had 3 catches for 34 yards and 1 touchdown. Overall, it was a very quiet day for the receiving corps in that one. Quentin Frazier led the defense with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while Eugene Ford was right behind him with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Blessman Ta'ala, Pita Tonga, and Khoury Bethley all had 1 sack in that game. Bethley was outstanding as he also had 2 interceptions for his team in that game while Hugh Nelson II and Cortez Davis both had 1 interception each as well. They have scored 167 points in their first 6 games averaging 27.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 186 points against them allowing 31 PPG. Their offense is averaging 417.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 437.3 YPG.
Nevada Wolf Pack Analysis
Nevada is coming into this game with a 4-1 record overall and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 2nd conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are off to a good start with a 1-0 record in their conference games this season. That win came against Boise State 41-31. They are on a 2 game winning streak coming into this game. Carson Strong had a very good game in their last one as he completed 25/32 passes for 377 yards, 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. Toa Taua led the team in rushing with 28 yards on 7 carries but they did not really get anything going in the run game in that one. The receiving corps had a great day though as Melquan Stovall led the receivers with 155 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions while Justin Lockhart was right behind him with 103 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions. Harry Ballard III also caught 1 touchdown pass for 58 yards and 2 receptions. Daiyan Henley led the defense with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Jordan Lee also played well with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Sam Hammond led the defense in sacks with 2, Dom Peterson had 1.5, Trevor Price and Tristan Nichols both had 1 while Jack Powers had 0.5 sacks in that game. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that one. They have scored 184 points in their first 5 games averaging 36.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 124 points against them allowing 24.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 443 YPG while their defense is allowing 382.6 YPG.
Hawaii vs Nevada Prediction
Nevada is coming into this game as a 14 point favorite and the total is set at 60.5 with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Nevada has been scoring a lot of points on offense in their games this year and they have been moving the ball well. They are averaging almost 40 points scored per game and they have actually scored over 40 points in 3 of their last 4 games. Hawaii will be on the road in this game and they have played in 3 road games this year, all 3 of those games there has been 1 team that has scored at least 40 points in the game, usually not Hawaii but they did in one of those games. Hawaii has a very bad defense and they will allow a lot of points against Nevada in this game. They will be forced to play catch-up the entire time as the score gets driven up in the process. The best bet to make in this game is on the over as it will be a high scoring game with a lot of points from both sides.
Hawaii Nevada Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 16, 2021 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Nevada 45 Hawaii 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 165-182 ATS in all games. 97-109 ATS as an underdog. 45-59 ATS as a road underdog. 62-79 ATS in road games. 98-127 ATS against conference opponents.
Nevada Wolf Pack: 21-15 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 142-134 ATS in all games. 44-31 ATS as a home favorite. 73-54 ATS in home games. 92-83 ATS against conference opponents.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: None.
Nevada Wolf Pack: R. Doubs (WR) Prob Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Williams (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. E. Cooks (WR) out for season - Foot injury.
Players to Watch
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: Dae Dae Hunter is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in rushing yards this season. He is coming off of a great game with over 100 rushing yards and will be looking to continue that here. They will need a good run game here to slow down the pace of the game for them here on the road so look for him to get a lot of touches in this game.
Nevada Wolf Pack: Carson Strong is one player to watch here. He leads his team in passing yards this season and he has been having a great year so far. He is coming off of a game where he had almost 400 passing yards and 6 touchdowns. He is the leader of this offense so look for him to have another great game here and make some big plays.
"I'm just really proud of our football team. I'm just so proud of our guys, so proud of our team." - Todd Graham on his team’s comeback win against Fresno State in their last game.
"He's really a dirty-work kind of a guy. He blocks on the perimeter. He does all the tough things you ask. He runs down on kickoffs. He runs down on punts." - Jay Norvell on Melquan Stovall and his offensive value to the team.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
WR Mardner, Nick
WR Smart, Jared
TE Phillips, Caleb
QB Cordeiro, Chevan
RB/WR Turner Jr., Calvin
RB Hunter, Dae Dae
Nevada Wolf Pack
WR Lockhart, Justin
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Stovall, Melquan
TE Turner, Cole
QB Strong, Carson
RB Taua, Toa
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Passing: C. Cordeiro (1410)
Rushing: D. Hunter (384)
Receiving: N. Mardner (492)
Touchdowns: C. Turner (6)
Sacks: K. Bethley (3)
Tackles: K. Bethley (28)
Nevada Wolf Pack
Passing: C. Strong (1595)
Rushing: T. Taua (307)
Receiving: R. Doubs (304)
Touchdowns: E. Cooks (4)
Sacks: S. Hammond (4)
Tackles: D. Henley (31)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: Todd Graham (2nd season)
Nevada Wolf Pack: Jay Norvell (5th season)
71 degrees F sunny, 36% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 7 mph wind speeds E.