Green Bay Phoenix vs. Milwaukee Panthers Prediction & Game Preview - 2/13/2022

by Chuck Sommers

Saturday, Feb 12, 2022
Time: 2 p.m. ET
Venue: UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena, Milwaukee, WI
Where to watch: ESPN+

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Milwaukee -5
BetMGM: NL
Caesars: NL

Season record
Green Bay: 4-20 (3-12 Horizon)
Milwaukee: 8-18 (6-11 Horizon)

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Green Bay - Milwaukee preview and analysis


Recent form
Green Bay: lost seven straight
Milwaukee: lost six of seven

I'm not entirely sure how big of a fan you can get for a game between two cellar-dwellers in the Horizon League.

But that's exactly what we're going to get on Sunday when the Green Bay Phoenix visit the Milwaukee Panthers in a battle of trying to figure out who is the more respectable of the two horrible conference teams.

These games are always a crapshoot to try and bet on. Because you know one team is eventually going to be better than the other, but it also comes off as the perfect trap game for the team that has been the most pitiful this season.

And in the case of Green Bay, entering this game on a 7 game losing streak with no possibility whatsoever to catch the likes of Cleveland State, Oakland, and Wright State at the top of the conference, it always seems like this would be the kind of game that would work well in the favor of trying to end a losing streak.

Green Bay is coming off a nine-point loss to Northern Kentucky on Friday. This game was about as similar as green bay's games have looked all season. They shoot the ball fairly decently, they are average from 3 point range, but their defense is absolute hot garbage.

Green Bay allowed 53% of shots from the floor, and Northern Kentucky had to shoot only 15 three-point attempts to win this game convincingly. The phoenix are giving up almost 70 points per game while only chipping in 61 this season.

That's why sometimes I always think that there should just be a button to press to tell you which game you really should stay away from. This matchup with Green Bay and Milwaukee is one of those. Because Milwaukee is no better when it comes to their overall season statistics. We are talking about a game between a four-win team and a team with eight victories this season, and if you have never felt the excitement in the way that I do at this moment, then we really need to reevaluate our life choices.

The Panthers just ended a six-game losing streak on Friday with a 3 point victory over Wright state at home. Altogether, Milwaukee has lost nine of its last 12 since winning three of the first five conference games it played in. Ironically enough, the last time Milwaukee was a winning team in conference play, the Panthers had beaten the phoenix by 14 points in Green Bay.

Milwaukee's leading scorer DeAndre Gholston had 16 points in that victory, but scoring has not come easily for Gholston over the last few games. In four of the last five games, he has been held to below 15 points and has shot lower than 40% in each of those games. None was more abysmal than shooting 8% against Northern Kentucky on Wednesday and finishing with five points, but he did rebound to score 11 despite shooting 36% in the victory over Wright State.

the Panthers are opening this game as five-point favorites in some books, and while the consensus in my brain would tell me that they would win this game and cover against a team with four victories, it is quite shocking to look at the numbers and see that Milwaukee has failed to cover in 16 of its 25 games this season.

Milwaukee failed to cover in its previous six games before the win against Wright state the other night, when they were nine-point underdogs. This will be the first time the Panthers are favored in a game since January 27th when they took on Robert Morris and lost by 24 as one and a half point favorites.

Green Bay has not been any better. You have to go back to January 13th to find the last time they were favored, defeating IUPUI by 15 on January 13th as eight and a half point favorites. Since then, Green Bay has been underdogs in every game and failing to cover in six of them.

And we're not talking just low numbers to cover. Green Bay has been underdogs by seven and a half, 8, nine and a half, 12, and five and a half. All of those numbers I just listed off ended up in losses and failures to cover.

Prediction


There are so many red flags that say to stay away from this game but at the end of the day, you pick the lesser of two evils and hope that it sticks. Give me Milwaukee in a dominant victory. Milwaukee by 15

Betting trends


Green Bay is 18-22 ATS off an over in the past three seasons.

Milwaukee is 6-15 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less.

Milwaukee is 6-19 ATS after failing to cover four or five of the last six.

Projected starting lineup


Green Bay:
PG: Kamari McGee
SG: Nate Jenkins
SF: Ryan Claflin
PF: Emmanuel Ansong
C: Cade Meyer

Milwaukee:
PG: Jordan Lathon
SG: DeAndre Gholston
SF: Tafari Simms
PF: Patrick Baldwin Jr.
C: Joey St. Pierre

Statistical leaders


Green Bay:
Points: Donovan Ivory -- 11.9
Rebounds: Emmanuel Ansong -- 5.2
Assists: Lucas Stieber -- 3.6

Milwaukee:
Points: DeAndre Gholston -- 14.8
Rebounds: Joey St. Pierre -- 5.6
Assists: Jordan Lathon -- 2.9

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Green Bay - Milwaukee prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily college basketball projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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