Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/25/2022

by Rod Pearson

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 25, 2022
Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  Fox

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Packers +2.5, Buccaneers -2.5; Over/Under:  41.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Packers +2, Buccaneers -2; Over/Under:  41.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Packers +2.5, Buccaneers -2.5; Over/Under:  41 points
 

Season Record

Green Bay Packers:  1-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  2-0 (1st place, NFC South)
 
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers:  won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 27-10.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  won their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 20-10.

 

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis

 
The Packers are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they are playing their 2nd road game of the season here as they are 0-1 in their road games. Their offense is averaging 376 YPG and 17 PPG while their defense is allowing 311.5 YPG and 16.5 PPG against them. They won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 27-10. Aaron Rodgers was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 19/25 passes for 234 yards and 2 touchdowns. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing with 132 yards and 1 TD on 15 rushing attempts. Sammy Watkins led the team in receiving with 93 yards on 3 receptions. Darnell Savage Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Preston Smith led the defense in sacks with 2 while Jaire Alexander came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they are playing their 1st home game of the season here. Their offense is averaging 303.5 YPG and 19.5 PPG while their defense is allowing 276 YPG and 6.5 PPG against them. They won their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 20-10. Tom Brady was the starting QB in that game and he completed 18/34 passes for 190 yards and 1 touchdowns. Leonard Fournette led the team in rushing with 65 yards on 24 carries. Mike Evans led the team in receiving with 61 yards on 3 catches. Carlton Davis led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Shaquil Barrett led the defense in sacks with 2 while Jamel Dean led the defense in interceptions with 2 and Mike Edwards also came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 

 

Packers vs Buccaneers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game looks like it has the wrong team favored here. The Bucs may be 2-0 to start the season while the Packers are only 1-1, but the Packers have a much better team overall. The Bucs have a very good defense this season under Todd Bowles but he has not done much to improve on their offense as they have struggled to score points and even move the ball in their games. They haven't scored more than 20 points in either game and they have so many injuries to their receiving corps, Mike Evans out with a suspension now too, Tom Brady has no one to throw the ball to even if he has a great game. They haven't been able to get their run going and Tom Brady looks like he is finally done in the NFL as he simply cannot make the plays he used to. The Packers do not have many weapons to throw to either but they have a great running game between Jones and Dillon, and Rodgers is also a lot younger and more mobile than Brady so he can make the plays he needs to if the pocket collapses on him. The Packers are the better team here and this is a game Rodgers has circled to beat Brady and get the win for his team here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to win this game and cover the spread.
 
Packers Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 25, 2022 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Packers 21 Buccaneers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
Green Bay Packers: 27-18 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 29-16 OVER against NFC South division opponents. 11-5 OVER off a home win.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 24-16 ATS in all games. 13-5 ATS in home games. 14-4 OVER after a win by 10 or more points. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Green Bay Packers:  D. Bakhtiari (T) day-to-day - Knee. K. Barnes (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. K. Hill (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  M. Evans (WR) Elig Week 4 - Suspension. C. Godwin (WR) Early Oct - Hamstring. J. Jones (WR) day-to-day - Knee.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Tonight was really about 28 (A.J. Dillon) and 33 (Jones), getting them the football. I didn't play great. I feel like the stats look a little better than the game. ... I missed some throws that I should never miss. There were some opportunities for more points out there." - Aaron Rodgers after their win against the Bears in their last game.
 
 
"It's an emotional game. A little bit of execution helps all the way around. I thought the defense played well again and the offensive line fought hard.” - Tom Brady after their win against the Saints in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Green Bay Packers
WR Lazard, Allen
WR Watkins, Sammy 
WR COBB, RANDALL 
TE Tonyan, Robert
QB RODGERS, AARON 
RB Jones, Aaron 
 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Perriman, Breshad
WR Miller, Scotty
WR Gage, Russell 
TE BRATE, CAMERON
QB BRADY, TOM
RB Fournette, Leonard 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Green Bay Packers
Passing: A. Rodgers (429)
Rushing: A. Jones (181)
Receiving: S. Watkins (111)
Touchdowns: A. Jones (2)
 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: T. Brady (402)
Rushing: L. Fournette (192)
Receiving: M. Evans (132)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (1)
 
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (4th season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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