Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/12/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Nov 06, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Packers +3.5, Steelers -3.5; Over/Under:  37 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Packers +3.5, Steelers -3.5; Over/Under:  37.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Packers +3.5, Steelers -3.5; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Season Record

Green Bay Packers:  3-5 (3rd place, NFC North)
Pittsburgh Steelers:  5-3 (2nd place, AFC North)

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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers:  won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Rams 20-3.
Pittsburgh Steelers:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 20-16.


Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis


The Packers are entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the LA Rams 20-3. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 228 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 1 TD. Luke Musgrave led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jaire Alexander led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jonathan Owens led the defense in sacks with 1. Anthony Johnson Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Steelers are entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 20-16. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 160 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 88. Diontae Johnson led the receivers with 90 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Elandon Roberts led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Alex Highsmith led the defense in sacks with 2. Kwon Alexander came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Packers vs Steelers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers are 5-3 this season and they looked a lot better in their game last week as they beat the Titans. They have been playing a lot better in their home games this season and they also have the extra rest here from playing on Thursday night. Meanwhile, the Packers haven't looked that good this season with their 3-5 record overall and they have been terrible in their road games with a 1-3 road record this season. They finally snapped their losing streak at home last week with a win over the Rams, but the Rams were also without their starting QB Matt Stafford. The Steelers have a really good defense and an offense that has been playing a lot better in their games lately while the Packers have struggled on both sides of the ball this year and don't really have a lot of talent at their disposal either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game. 

Packers Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 12, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Steelers 17 Packers 6.
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NFL Betting Trends


Green Bay Packers: 8-4 ATS as a road underdog. 22-14 ATS against AFC North division opponents. 15-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 8-4 UNDER as a road underdog. 9-3 UNDER in non-conference games. 

Pittsburgh Steelers: 12-24 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 1-6 ATS off 6 or more consecutive unders. 7-1 UNDER in all games. 10-4 UNDER as a favorite. 15-7 UNDER in home games. 

Key Injuries


Green Bay Packers:  K. Clark (DL) day-to-day - Shoulder. C. Watson (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. Q. Walker (LB) day-to-day - Groin. R. Ford (S) day-to-day - Calf. Z. Anderson (S) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Savage (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  C. Holcomb (LB) out for season - Knee. A. McFarland Jr. (RB) day-to-day - Knee. M. Fitzpatrick (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. P. Freiermuth (TE) Mid Nov - Hamstring. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.

Notable Quotes


“It’s not perfect — it’s never going to be perfect — but I think just the position we were able to put ourselves in and come out with a win, it definitely is going to help us. We’ve just got to keep stacking going forward.” - Jordan Love after their win against the LA Rams in their last game. 


“Really excited about the win. But obviously, it could have been cleaner. First and foremost from a penalty perspective, part of being a tough team to beat first is not kicking your own butt, and we’ve kind of been doing that some. We’ve got to own that.” - Mike Tomlin after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian 
WR Doubs, Romeo 
WR Reed, Jayden 
TE Musgrave, Luke 
QB Love, Jordan 
RB Jones, Aaron 
FB Deguara, Josiah 

Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Johnson, Diontae  
WR Pickens, George 
WR ROBINSON II, ALLEN 
TE Heyward, Connor  
QB Pickett, Kenny 
RB Harris, Najee

Statistical Leaders


Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (1720)
Rushing: A. Dillon (306)
Receiving: J. Reed (333)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (5)

Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: K. Pickett (1490)
Rushing: N. Harris (382)
Receiving: G. Pickens (521)
Touchdowns: G. Pickens (3)

Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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