Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/11/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Dec 07, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, December 11, 2023
Venue:  MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ 
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Packers -6.5, Giants +6.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Packers -6.5, Giants +6.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Packers -6.5, Giants +6.5; Over/Under:  36 points

Season Record

Green Bay Packers:  6-6 (3rd place, NFC North)
New York Giants:  4-8 (3rd place, NFC East)

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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers:  won their last game at home against the Kansas City Chiefs 27-19.
New York Giants:  won their last game at home against the New England Patriots 10-7.


Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants Preview and Analysis


The Packers are entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 27-19. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 25/36 passes for 267 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing yards with 73. Romeo Doubs led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Corey Ballentine led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Lukas Van Ness led the defense in sacks with 1. Keisean Nixon came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Giants are entering this game with a 4-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 10-7. Tommy Devito was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 191 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 46. Jalin Hyatt led the receivers with 109 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Bobby Okereke led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jihad Ward led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Bobby Okereke, Xavier McKinney, and Deonte Banks each came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Packers vs Giants Prediction

The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers haven't looked great this season with their 6-6 record overall but they have looked a lot better in their games lately and have put themselves right back in the playoff conversation with their win over the Chiefs last week. They are only 2-4 in their road games this season but they are going to have some momentum from that win and will be looking to propel themselves even more in this playoff race. The Giants have looked terrible this season with their 4-8 record overall and their 2-3 home record. They have been dealing with injuries all season which has really affected their QB play, now down to their 3rd string. They managed to get a win at home against the Patriots before going into their bye week but the Patriots have been even worse this season and the Giants won't have the offense here to put up the points that Jordan Love and this Green Bay offense can put up. The Packers have looked like the better team in their games lately and they have a lot more on the line here with their hopes of making the playoffs still alive. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game. 

Packers Giants Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 11, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Packers 24 Giants 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Green Bay Packers: 17-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 31-15 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. 12-7 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-2 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
 
New York Giants: 1-5 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 4-7 ATS in all games. 30-16 UNDER in all games. 27-12 UNDER as an underdog. 16-4 UNDER in home games. 10-3 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog.

Key Injuries


Green Bay Packers:  C. Watson (WR) Ques Mon - Hamstring. J. Deguara (TE) Ques Mon - Hip. A. Jones (RB) Ques Mon - Knee. J. Alexander (CB) Ques Mon - Shoulder. E. Stokes (CB) Ques Mon - Hamstring. E. Wilson (RB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Musgrave (TE) Out indefinitely - Kidney. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.

New York Giants:  D. Lawrence (DL) Ques Mon - Hamstring. T. Taylor (QB) Ques Mon - Ribs. G. Brightwell (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Jones (QB) I-R - Knee. E. Neal (OT) Out indefinitely - Arm. G. Gano (K) I-R - Knee. D. Waller (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Peart (OT) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Lemieux (G) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. Ezeudu (OL) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Robinson (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Ford-Wheaton (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Hassenauer (OL) I-R - Tricep. J. Davis (LB) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“They're coming together. They're working. They're getting better. They're playing faster, playing more confident.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Chiefs in their last game. 


“It’s definitely showing all the work that we put in throughout the week. So it’s been good to see. It’s fun, it’s always fun when we're getting turnovers.” - Xavier McKinney after their win against the Patriots in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian 
WR Doubs, Romeo 
WR Reed, Jayden 
TE Kraft, Tucker 
QB Love, Jordan 
RB Jones, Aaron 
FB Deguara, Josiah 

New York Giants
WR Hyatt, Jalin 
WR Slayton, Darius 
WR Robinson, Wan'Dale 
TE Bellinger, Daniel 
QB DeVito, Tommy 
RB Barkley, Saquon

Statistical Leaders


Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (2866)
Rushing: A. Dillon (521)
Receiving: J. Reed (513)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (7)

New York Giants
Passing: D. Jones (909)
Rushing: S. Barkley (697)
Receiving: D. Slayton (435)
Touchdowns: S. Barkley (5)

Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
New York Giants: Brian Daboll (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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