by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 06, 2026
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, November 8, 2026
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers +3, Patriots -3; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers +3, Patriots -3; Over/Under: 44.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers +3, Patriots -3; Over/Under: 45 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 5-3 (4th place, NFC North)
New England Patriots: 5-3 (2nd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: won their last game at home against the Carolina Panthers 27-19.
New England Patriots: won their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 24-19.
Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 27-19. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 30/41 passes for 288 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 39 and 1 TD. Christian Watson led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Evan Williams and Isaiah McDuffie each led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Ty'Ron Hopper, Lukas Van Ness, Barryn Sorrell, Dani Dennis-Sutton, Brenton Cox Jr., and Devonte Wyatt each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ty'Ron Hopper came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Patriots are entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 24-19. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 16/20 passes for 199 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 82. DeMario Douglas led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Carlton Davis III and Christian Elliss each led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles while Cory Durden and Gabe Jacas each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kevin Byard III came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Packers vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC East. They have looked great on their home field too with their 3-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall, but that record has them at the bottom of the NFC North in a really tough division. They haven't been a great road team though with their 2-2 road record this year. The Packers are coming off a 27-19 win over the Panthers in their last one and their defense has looked great all season. Their offense has had trouble at times though and they don't really have much of a rushing attack. They haven't been at their best in their road games either and this is no easy place to play in the NFL. The Patriots have looked like a completely different team in their home games this season with most of their wins being in blow out fashion. They have a good defense that is in the top half of the NFL, but that defense has looked even better in their 3 home games. They are coming off a 24-19 win over the Dolphins in their last one and they didn't look good in that win, trailing at halftime before finally getting going in the 2nd half, but the Patriots have also always had trouble in Miami no matter how bad the Dolphins are, even having trouble there in the Tom Brady days. Now the Patriots are going to be back at home where they have looked a lot better this year and this is a great opportunity for them to pick up a much needed win against a good opponent. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 8, 2026 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Patriots 23 Packers 16.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 7-12 ATS in road games. 3-9 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 18-25 ATS on the road after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 9-4 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
New England Patriots: 8-2 ATS as a home favorite. 7-2 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 6-3 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs. 16-6 OVER in home games. 6-1 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: M. Lloyd (RB) Injured - Knee. Z. Franklin (LB) Injured - Shin. K. Nixon (CB) Injured - Groin. A. Banks (OG) Injured - Knee. J. Whyle (TE) Injured - Concussion. M. Parsons (DL) Injured - Knee. S. Rhyan (OG) Injured - Ankle. C. Watson (WR) Injured - Rib. C. Brooks (RB) Injured - Ankle. T. Glover (OT) Injured - Knee.
New England Patriots: K. Byard III (S) Injured - Chest. H. Henry (TE) Injured - Foot. G. Van Roten (OG) Injured - Hamstring. M. Moses (OT) Injured - Foot. M. Hollins (WR) Injured - Calf. C. Davis III (CB) Injured - Neck. A. Brown (WR) Injured - Ankle. D. Jones (LB) Injured - Shoulder. C. Barmore (DL) Injured - Illness. D. Maye (QB) Injured - Shoulder. T. Henderson (RB) Injured - Illness. G. Jacas (LB) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Late in the game, it wasn't good enough. We weren't able to finish the way we wanted. That's something we've got to improve on, clean up as an offense and be better there.” - Jordan Love after their win against the Panthers in their last game.
“(If) you want to be a great quarterback in the National Football League, there's not a whole lot of excuses. You go out there and find ways to win for your football team. That’s who he is and that’s what he wants to continue to be.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Golden, Matthew
WR Williams, Savion
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
New England Patriots
WR Williams, Kyle
WR Chism III, Efton
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (2,246)
Rushing: MarShawn Lloyd (149)
Receiving: Christian Watson (708)
Touchdowns: Christian Watson (6)
New England Patriots
Passing: Drake Maye (1,983)
Rushing: Rhamondre Stevenson (367)
Receiving: DeMario Douglas (332)
Touchdowns: DeMario Douglas (4)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (8th season)
New England Patriots: Mike Vrabel (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
