Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/31/2023

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, December 31, 2023

Venue:  U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Packers +1, Vikings -1; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Packers +1, Vikings -1; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Packers +1, Vikings -1; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Green Bay Packers:  7-8 (3rd place, NFC North)

Minnesota Vikings:  7-8 (2nd place, NFC North)

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Green Bay Packers:  won their last game on the road against the Carolina Panthers 33-30.

Minnesota Vikings:  lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 30-24.

The Packers are entering this game with a 7-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 33-30. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 17/28 passes for 219 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 127. Romeo Doubs led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Anthony Johnson Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Preston Smith led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Vikings are entering this game with a 7-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 30-24. Nick Mullens was the starting QB and he completed 22/36 passes for 411 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Ty Chandler led the team in rushing yards with 17 and 1 TD. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 141 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Josh Metellus led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Patrick Jones II led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers haven't looked great this season with their 7-8 record overall but they are still fighting for a Wild Card spot in the NFC. They looked a lot better in their game last week as they beat the Panthers and were in control for most of that game. Meanwhile, the Vikings haven't looked that great either with their 7-8 record overall but they are also fighting for the same Wild Card spots in the NFC so this is a huge game for both teams. The Vikings have been banged up all season and have been cycling through starting QB's but they have had no real consistency from QB to QB no matter who they put in. Now they have rookie QB Jaren Hall starting over Nick Mullens and it feels like the Vikings are just throwing whatever at the wall at this point in the season and seeing what sticks. The Packers actually regained some stability last week with their win and getting Aaron Jones back in the lineup also helped out a lot. The Packers are the more consistent team at this point in the season and they will be looking to keep their playoff hopes alive here while also putting the dagger in the Vikings season. The Packers are playing better football right now and that will translate to the field in this game that has a ton of meaning to both teams. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game. 

Packers Vikings Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 31, 2023 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Packers 24 Vikings 20.

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Green Bay Packers: 14-7 ATS as an underdog. 8-2 ATS off a road win. 31-20 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. 6-2 OVER in road games. 7-3 OVER off 5 or more consecutive overs. 10-5 OVER after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.

Minnesota Vikings: 17-32 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points. 19-27 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. 10-5 OVER as a home favorite. 12-6 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 17-6 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

Green Bay Packers:  C. Jones (OT) Prob Sun - Foot. Q. Walker (LB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. J. Owens (S) Prob Sun - Knee. E. Wilson (RB) Doub Sun - Shoulder. L. Tenuta (OT) Doub Sun - Ankle. D. Campbell (LB) Doub Sun - Neck. L. Musgrave (TE) Doub Sun - Kidney. A. Jones (RB) Prob Sun - Knee. A. Dillon (RB) Prob Sun - Thumb. J. Reed (WR) Prob Sun - Toe. C. Watson (WR) Doub Sun - Hamstring. K. Enagbare (LB) Prob Sun - Toe. T. Slaton (DL) Ques Sun - Knee. E. Jenkins (G) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Alexander (CB) Elig Week 18 - Suspension. D. Savage (S) Ques Sun - Shoulder. D. Wicks (WR) Ques Sun - Chest. R. Rochell (DB) Ques Sun - Neck. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.

Minnesota Vikings:  S. Day (DL) Prob Sun - Ankle. J. Roy (DL) Out Sun - Ankle. J. Nailor (WR) Out Sun - Concussion. B. Murphy Jr. (CB) Out Sun - Knee. T. Jackson (S) Out Sun - Toe. A. Mattison (RB) Prob Sun - Ankle. H. Phillips (DL) Prob Sun - Back. J. Hall (QB) Prob Sun - Concussion. I. Pace Jr. (LB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. B. O'Neill (OT) Prob Sun - Ankle. T. Dye (LB) Ques Sun - Wrist. M. Blackmon (CB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. D. Wonnum (LB) I-R - Quadricep. T. Hockenson (TE) I-R - Knee. C. Reed (G) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Addison (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Davenport (LB) Early Jan - Ankle. D. Lowry (DL) I-R - Pectoral. C. Akers (RB) I-R - Achilles. K. Cousins (QB) I-R - Achilles. O. Udoh (G) I-R - Quadricep. J. Lynch (DL) I-R - Knee.

“It feels good to win. Certainly made it a little closer than we would’ve liked but give Carolina a ton of credit. They fought for for four quarters. The bottom line is that we found a way to make a couple of plays down the stretch to propel us to a win." - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game. 

“Proud of our guys for the way they battled. Got to tip your hat to Dan and his group over there.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game. 

WR Watson, Christian 

WR Doubs, Romeo 

WR Reed, Jayden 

TE Kraft, Tucker 

QB Love, Jordan 

RB Jones, Aaron 

FB Deguara, Josiah 

WR Jefferson, Justin 

WR Addison, Jordan

WR Osborn, K.J.

TE Oliver, Josh 

QB Hall, Jaren 

RB Mattison, Alexander 

FB Ham, C.J.

Passing: J. Love (3587)

Rushing: A. Dillon (586)

Receiving: R. Doubs (646)

Touchdowns: J. Reed (8)

Passing: J. Dobbs (2464)

Rushing: A. Mattison (659)

Receiving: T. Hockenson (960)

Touchdowns: J. Addison (9)

Coaches:

Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)

Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (2nd season)