by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 30, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 4, 2026
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers +6.5, Vikings -6.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers +6.5, Vikings -6.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers +6, Vikings -6; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 41-24.
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 23-10.
Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 9-6-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 4-3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 41-24. Malik Willis was the starting QB and he completed 18/21 passes for 288 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Malik Willis led the team in rushing yards with 60 and 2 TDs. Christian Watson led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Xavier McKinney led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Quay Walker led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Vikings are entering this game with an 8-8 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Detroit Lions 23-10. Max Brosmer was the starting QB and he completed 9/16 passes for 51 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan Addison led the team in rushing yards with 65 and 1 TD. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 30 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 11 assisted tackles while Andrew Van Ginkel led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Byron Murphy and Harrison Smith each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Packers vs Vikings Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings have looked good in their games this season with their 8-8 record overall, but that record has them near the bottom of the NFC North in a competitive division. They haven't looked great on their home field though with their 3-4 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 9-6-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the NFC North. They have been a good road team too with their 4-3-1 road record this year. The Packers are off a 41-24 loss to the Ravens in their last one and they haven't looked good lately. They have lost 3 games in a row now and they have already lost the division, so with nothing left to play for in this last game, they will likely rest players here to get ready for the playoffs. They have been dealing with a lot of injuries lately too so this isn't going to be the Packers best effort. The Vikings have been gaining some momentum lately though, winning 4 games in a row now, and they have a chance to finish the season strong by getting above .500. They are off a 23-10 win over the Lions in their last one which ended the Lions season, and their defense has looked really good lately as they haven't been giving up many points. Look for the Vikings to close out the season strong at home against a Packers team that is looking ahead to the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Vikings Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 4, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Vikings 21 Packers 7.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 1-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 0-6 ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less. 8-14 ATS after playing a game at home. 6-2 UNDER off a home loss. 6-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game.
Minnesota Vikings: 7-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 8-3 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 8-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 6-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 6-3 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: J. Riley (DL) Injured - Ankle. J. Jacobs (RB) Questionable - Knee. M. Willis (QB) Questionable - Shoulder. A. Mosby (DL) Injured - Ankle. Q. Bohanna (DL) Injured - Illness. K. Welch (LB) Out - Ankle. B. Melton (CB) Questionable - Illness. A. Banks (OG) Injured - Neck. J. Love (QB) Questionable - Shoulder. Z. Tom (OG) Questionable - Back. J. Whyle (TE) Injured - Concussion. R. Doubs (WR) Injured - Wrist. S. Rhyan (OG) Questionable - Knee. D. Wicks (WR) Injured - Ankle. L. Van Ness (DL) Injured - Foot. C. Watson (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. E. Williams (S) Questionable - Knee. C. Oliver (DL) Injured - Hamstring. S. Williams (WR) Injured - Foot. J. Williams (OG) Out - Back.
Minnesota Vikings: E. Wilson (LB) Injured - Thumb. A. Jones Sr. (RB) Injured - Ankle. T. Hockenson (TE) Out - Shoulder. J. Mason (RB) Out - Ankle. J. McCarthy (QB) Out - Hand. R. Kelly (C) Out - Concussion. J. Hargrave (DL) Injured - Thigh. B. O'Neill (OT) Questionable - Heel. T. Chandler (RB) Injured - Knee. A. Keys (LB) Injured - Ankle. G. Bartholomew (TE) Out - Back.
Notable Quotes
“That was a humbling night. Give Baltimore a ton of credit. They came in here and were in complete control the whole game." - Matt LaFleur after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game.
“NFL football is hard, and people say it a lot. NFL football is fun too. That’s not me saying I don’t enjoy this. My favorite part is the process.” - Max Brosmer after their win against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Nailor, Jalen
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Brosmer, Max
RB Jones Sr, Aaron
FB Ham, C.J.
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (3,381)
Rushing: Josh Jacobs (929)
Receiving: Romeo Doubs (724)
Touchdowns: Josh Jacobs (14)
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: J.J. McCarthy (1,450)
Rushing: Jordan Mason (664)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (947)
Touchdowns: Jordan Mason (6)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (7th season)
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
