by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 05, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, October 9, 2023
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: ABC, ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers -1, Raiders +1; Over/Under: 45 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers -1, Raiders +1; Over/Under: 44.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers -1, Raiders +1; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 2-2 (2nd place, NFC North)
Las Vegas Raiders: 1-3 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 34-20.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers 24-17.
Green Bay Packers vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 34-20. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 23/36 passes for 246 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 18. Romeo Doubs led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Quay Walker led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Devonte Wyatt and Karl Brooks each led the defense in sacks with 1. Rudy Ford came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the LA Chargers 24-17. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 24/39 passes for 238 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 58 and 1 TD. Josh Jacobs led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Trevon Moehrig-Woodard led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 2. Trevon Moehrig-Woodard came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Packers vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers are 2-2 this season and they have played in some really close games but they still have a lot of weapons on offense to use even without Aaron Rodgers. Jordan Love has looked good in his starts this season and he is only going to get better as he grows into this offense more. The Raiders won their 1st game of the season but they have been struggling ever since with 3 losses in a row now and their offense hasn't really been putting up a ton of points in their games. They don't have a great defense either so stopping this Packers offense will be tough. The Raiders offense has also been struggling a lot and now they have an injury to their starting QB that kept him out of their last game too. Even if Jimmy G comes back for this game, he hasn't been great in this offense this season and the Raiders are going to fall short here with the Packers playing a lot better right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, October 9, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Packers 23 Raiders 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 8-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 ATS off a division game. 36-19 OVER off a home loss. 47-25 OVER after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game.
Las Vegas Raiders: 16-26 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 10-18 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 18-8 OVER against NFC North division opponents. 5-1 OVER off 2 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: J. Alexander (CB) Ques Mon - Back. L. Musgrave (TE) Ques Mon - Concussion. D. Campbell (LB) Ques Mon - Ankle. Z. Anderson (S) Ques Mon - Hamstring. E. Jenkins (G) Ques Mon - Knee. A. Johnson Jr. (S) Ques Mon - Knee. D. Bakhtiari (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Las Vegas Raiders: C. Bolton (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Young (DT) Ques Mon - Ankle. J. Garoppolo (QB) Ques Mon - Concussion. B. Facyson (CB) Out indefinitely - Shin. D. Wagner (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Brown (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Butler (DT) I-R - Arm. A. Walter (RB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I think just offensively as a whole we’ve just got to start faster. We don’t start fast and we kind of get behind and it’s hard running the ball. We get put in situations where you’ve got to throw the ball. So I think we’ve just got to start faster.” - Jordan Love after their loss against the Lions in their last game.
“We put ourselves in a hole here and I thought our team fought hard and fought back, but we’re gonna have to clean up some of the things that we’re doing to put us in those situations so we don’t have to feverishly scramble back at the end." - Josh McDaniels after his team’s loss against the Chargers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Las Vegas Raiders
WR ADAMS, DAVANTE
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Hooper, Austin
QB GAROPPOLO, JIMMY
RB Jacobs, Josh
FB Johnson, Jakob
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (901)
Rushing: A. Dillon (118)
Receiving: R. Doubs (224)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (3)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: J. Garoppolo (709)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (166)
Receiving: D. Adams (397)
Touchdowns: D. Adams (3)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Josh McDaniels (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
