by Rod Pearson
Monday, Dec 02, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, December 5, 2024
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers +3.5, Lions -3.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers +3.5, Lions -3.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers +3.5, Lions -3.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 9-3 (3rd place, NFC North)
Detroit Lions: 11-1 (1st place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: won their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 30-17.
Detroit Lions: won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 23-20.
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 30-17. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 21/28 passes for 274 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 43 and 1 TD. Tucker Kraft led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Isaiah McDuffie led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Quay Walker, Kingsley Enagbare, Lukas Van Ness, Brenton Cox Jr., and Kenny Clark each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Lions are entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 6-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 23-20. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 21/34 passes for 221 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 88. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Brian Branch led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while D. J. Reader led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Packers vs Lions Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked great in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall which has them at the top of the NFC North with the best record in the entire NFL. They are coming off a closer win against the Bears last week, winning by 3 points after going up big in the first half, but they also played that game on Thursday and have some extra time to correct the mistakes they made near the end of that one. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked really good in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the NFC North and fighting for a Wild Card spot. The Vikings are between the Lions and the Packers in the division with their 10-2 record overall, but this would be a huge win to bring the Packers back in this division race. This is also a big game for the Lions to really separate themselves and take control of the division though, and after the way they played last week, almost blowing their lead and losing at home to the Bears in the end, Campbell is going to make sure his team is more focused for this game. The Packers have looked great at home over the last 2 weeks with blowout wins over the Dolphins and the 49ers, but their last 2 road wins were both games within 3 points as they looked shaky against bad teams like the Bears and the Jaguars. The Lions have one of the best teams in the NFL right now and this is the kind of game they will show up in to take control of the NFC North. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Lions Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, December 5, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Lions 30 Packers 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 7-13 ATS after playing a game at home. 0-3 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 4-9 1H ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 5-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-2 OVER revenging a loss against an opponent. 11-6 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Detroit Lions: 35-14 ATS in all games. 22-10 ATS as a favorite. 11-4 ATS versus division opponents. 14-3 ATS off a home win. 13-7 OVER as a home favorite. 8-4 OVER after playing a division game. 9-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: X. McKinney (SAF) Injured - NIR-Personal. I. McDuffie (LB) Questionable - Ankle. J. FitzPatrick (TE) Questionable - Back. R. Doubs (WR) Out - Concussion. E. Cooper (LB) Out - Hamstring. E. Jenkins (OL) Injured - NIR - Rest. R. Walker (T) Injured - Knee. K. Clark (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Jacobs (RB) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Alexander (CB) Out - Knee. J. Myers (OL) Questionable - Pectoral.
Detroit Lions: D. Reader (DL) Injured - Illness. T. Decker (T) Out - Knee. D. Montgomery (RB) Questionable - Shoulder. A. St. Brown (WR) Questionable - Knee. T. Arnold (CB) Injured - Groin. C. Davis (CB) Out - Knee. K. Raymond (WR) Injured - Foot.
Notable Quotes
“To be able to come in here, get the win, get the turkey leg after, it was very delicious. Just a little something to celebrate.” - Jordan Love after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game.
“We started off pretty hot offensively and defensively.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Wicks, Dontayvion
WR Watson, Christian
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Detroit Lions
WR Patrick, Tim
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (2518)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (987)
Receiving: J. Reed (693)
Touchdowns: J. Jacobs (9)
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (2982)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (973)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (820)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (11)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (6th season)
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
