by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 21, 2023
Game Time: 12:30 pm ET, Thursday, November 23, 2023
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers +7.5, Lions -7.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers +7.5, Lions -7.5; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers +7.5, Lions -7.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 4-6 (3rd place, NFC North)
Detroit Lions: 8-2 (1st place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 23-20.
Detroit Lions: won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 31-26.
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the LA Chargers 23-20. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 27/40 passes for 322 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jayden Reed led the team in rushing yards with 46 and 1 TD. Dontayvion Wicks led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 3 receptions. De'Vondre Campbell and Keisean Nixon each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Rashan Gary and Karl Brooks each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Lions are entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 31-26. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 23/35 passes for 236 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 76 and 1 TD. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Anzalone led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Aidan Hutchinson and Alim McNeill each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Packers vs Lions Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers are only 4-6 this season and haven't looked great in their games this year playing their 1st season without Aaron Rodgers on the team, but Jordan Love did look a lot better last week and the Packers are going to have some momentum here. The Lions have looked great this season with their 8-2 record overall and they have also looked really good in their home games with their 4-1 home record. The Lions didn't look great last week in their tight win at home over the Bears as turnovers were a big problem for Goff and they were very fortunate to come back late and win that game. They won't be able to do that this week though since the Packers do have more talent than the Bears and they are going to bring their best effort for the Lions on Thanksgiving, especially since they will have revenge on their mind from that embarrassing home loss against the Lions earlier this season. Even if the Lions win this game, the Packers will keep this game close. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Lions Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, November 23, 2023 (12:30 pm ET start time) is Lions 24 Packers 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 1-5 ATS in dome games. 1-4 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 19-10 OVER off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less. 12-6 OVER after playing a game at home.
Detroit Lions: 30-14 ATS in all games. 16-6 ATS in home games. 11-3 ATS versus division opponents. 9-4 OVER as a favorite. 10-4 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-0 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: D. Savage (S) Ques Thurs - Calf. A. Jones (RB) Ques Thurs - Knee. E. Wilson (RB) Ques Thurs - Shoulder. R. Ford (S) Ques Thurs - Bicep. J. Alexander (CB) Ques Thurs - Shoulder. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Detroit Lions: I. Buggs (DL) Ques Thurs - Illness. J. Jackson (G) Ques Thurs - Ankle. L. Onwuzurike (DL) Ques Thurs - Hip. H. Vaitai (G) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Houston (LB) Late Nov - Ankle. S. Daly (LS) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Moseley (CB) I-R - Knee. Z. Knight (RB) I-R - Shoulder. J. Cabinda (FB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Nelson (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Gardner-Johnson (DB) I-R - Pectoral. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee. H. Hooker (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“He showed great poise. I think he showed that all game long.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“Down two scores, that’s when he’s at his best. I think that speaks volumes.” - Dan Campbell on Jared Goff after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Detroit Lions
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (2331)
Rushing: A. Dillon (405)
Receiving: J. Reed (463)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (7)
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (2743)
Rushing: D. Montgomery (577)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (898)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (8)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
