by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Dec 11, 2025
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 14, 2025
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers -2.5, Broncos +2.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers -2, Broncos +2; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers -2.5, Broncos +2.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 9-3-1 (1st place, NFC North)
Denver Broncos: 11-2 (1st place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 28-21.
Denver Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 24-17.
Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 9-3-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 28-21. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 234 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 1 TD. Christian Watson led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Kingsley Enagbare led the defense in sacks with 1. Keisean Nixon came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Broncos are entering this game with an 11-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 24-17. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 31/38 passes for 212 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. RJ Harvey led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Talanoa Hufanga led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Nik Bonitto led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Packers vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have looked great in their games this season with their 11-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have looked great on their home field too with their 6-0 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked great in their games this season with their 9-3-1 record overall which has them right at the top of the NFC North. They have been a great road team too with their 4-1-1 road record this year. The Packers are off a 28-21 win over the Bears in their last one which gave them the lead in the division and they have been rolling in their games lately. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but so do the Broncos and they have also been rolling lately. The Broncos have been one of the hottest teams in the NFL lately and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 10 wins in a row now. They also have one of the best defenses in the NFL and have been really tough to score on at home. Bo Nix is still in his 2nd NFL season and hasn't looked great at times with the offense underperforming in some games, but the Packers have also been really up and down on offense this year too. This is going to be a tight game either way with 2 really good defenses, so the Broncos have the edge here, getting points with the home advantage. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 14, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Broncos 16 Packers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 11-4 ATS after playing a division game. 8-0 ATS off a win against a division rival. 7-3 ATS on the road when playing against a team with a winning record. 20-13 UNDER in games played on a grass field.
Denver Broncos: 6-11 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-8 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 13-22 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 18-7 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: J. Jacobs (RB) Injured - Knee. K. Welch (LB) Injured - Concussion. J. Riley (DL) Injured - Knee. J. Love (QB) Injured - Left Shoulder. Z. Tom (OG) Injured - Back. B. Cox Jr. (DL) Injured - Groin. K. Enagbare (DL) Injured - Knee. J. Reed (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Wicks (WR) Injured - Ankle. L. Van Ness (DL) Injured - Foot. M. Lloyd (RB) Injured - Calf. J. Bullard (S) Injured - Ankle. C. Oliver (DL) Injured - Hamstring. S. Williams (WR) Injured - Foot. M. Golden (WR) Injured - Wrist.
Denver Broncos: D. Jones (DL) Injured - Ankle. B. Powers (OG) Injured - Biceps. N. Adkins (TE) Injured - Knee. P. Bryant (WR) Injured - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“Absolutely not. It's Packers-Bears. It's a great rivalry, and certainly with what was at stake in regards to positioning in the NFC North, that's the only thing that matters.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.
“It did not feel like some of these other (games) recently. My headset was off earlier.” - Sean Payton after his team’s win against the Raiders in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Franklin, Troy
WR Bryant, Pat
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Nix, Bo
RB Harvey, RJ
FB Prentice, Adam
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (3,028)
Rushing: Josh Jacobs (817)
Receiving: Romeo Doubs (542)
Touchdowns: Josh Jacobs (12)
Denver Broncos
Passing: Bo Nix (2,954)
Rushing: J.K. Dobbins (772)
Receiving: Courtland Sutton (773)
Touchdowns: RJ Harvey (9)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (7th season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
