by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 22, 2023
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers -1, Broncos +1; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers -1, Broncos +1; Over/Under: 45 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers -1, Broncos +1; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 2-3 (2nd place, NFC North)
Denver Broncos: 1-5 (4th place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 17-13.
Denver Broncos: lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 19-8.
Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 17-13. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 16/30 passes for 182 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing yards with 76 and 1 TD. Christian Watson led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Isaiah McDuffie led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Kenny Clark, Rashan Gary, Kingsley Enagbare, and Preston Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Rudy Ford came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 19-8. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 13/22 passes for 95 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 52. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 46 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Singleton led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jonathon Cooper and Zach Allen each led the defense in sacks with 1. Justin Simmons came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Packers vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers are only 2-3 this season and they will be looking to bounce back in this game after a close loss to the Raiders in prime time in their last game. The Packers defense has been really good this year while their offense has struggled at times but the Packers do have the advantage here since they are coming off their bye and have had time to iron some of the kinks out. The Broncos have been terrible this season with their 1-5 record overall and they do have some extra rest since they played on Thursday night but they also lost by 11 points in a game where they scored 8 points and they have looked terrible in every game they have played this season. There is a lot more going on in Denver with Wilson being unable to move the ball on offense and the defense unable to stop anyone. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 22, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Packers 20 Broncos 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 14-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 47-24 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 13-5 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 22-13 OVER against AFC West division opponents. 44-26 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points.
Denver Broncos: 15-24 ATS in all games. 5-15 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 3-8 ATS off a division game. 46-24 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. 4-1 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: E. Stokes (CB) Ques Sun - Foot. Z. Anderson (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. D. Campbell (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. A. Jones (RB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. A. Johnson Jr. (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Denver Broncos: D. Jones (DT) Ques Sun - Knee. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. B. Browning (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Williams (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“I thought our defense competed hard, enough for us to win the game. We’ve got to find a way to score points because I think anytime you hold somebody to 17 points, it’s enough to win football games.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s loss against the Raiders in their last game.
“I'm disappointed but I'm not discouraged. Offensively we struggled throwing the ball. Our third-down numbers were poor. The turnovers, against a team like this, it's going to be tough to win the game, and yet we were still in it going into the fourth quarter. Sometimes you don't know how a game is going to unfold.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Johnson, Brandon
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Trautman, Adam
QB WILSON, RUSSELL
RB Williams, Javonte
FB BURTON, MICHAEL
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (1083)
Rushing: A. Dillon (194)
Receiving: R. Doubs (228)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (3)
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (1305)
Rushing: J. McLaughlin (190)
Receiving: C. Sutton (275)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (4)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
