by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jan 05, 2026
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 10, 2026
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers +1.5, Bears -1.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers +1, Bears -1; Over/Under: 46 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers +1, Bears -1; Over/Under: 46 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 9-7-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
Chicago Bears: 11-6 (1st place, NFC North)
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Green Bay Packers: lost their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 16-3.
Chicago Bears: lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 19-16.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 9-7-1 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 4-4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 16-3. Clayton Tune was the starting QB and he completed 6/11 passes for 34 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chris Brooks led the team in rushing yards with 61. Jakobie Keeney-James led the receivers with 15 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Barryn Sorrell and Jaylin Simpson each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Barryn Sorrell and Brenton Cox Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Bears are entering this game with an 11-6 record overall and they have a 2-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 19-16. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 20/33 passes for 212 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 40. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Tremaine Edmunds led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Andrew Billings and Gervon Dexter Sr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kevin Byard III came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Packers vs Bears Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears have looked really good in their games this season with their 11-6 record overall which had them right at the top of the NFC North. They have looked great on their home field too with their 6-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 9-7-1 record overall which had them right near the top of the NFC North. They haven't been a great road team either with their 4-4-1 road record this year. The Packers had their chance to win the division, but they blew a big lead against the Bears late, a game which they also lost Jordan Love in, and that led to a collapse in the final games of the regular season. They are off a 16-3 loss to the Vikings in their last one, losing 4 games in a row to end the regular season now, and they have been dealing with a ton of injuries to key players too. The Packers feel like a team that has been falling apart in these last few games due to injuries and it is tough to see them go on the road where they lost a few weeks ago and overcome all of that against a red hot Bears team. The Bears are off a 19-16 loss to the Lions in their last one and they have lost 2 games in a row now, but they have been rolling over the last 2 months with Caleb Williams taking some big steps toward improvement. They have also been coached well this season which will go a long way, and they are in a much better situation than the Packers are in with all of their injuries. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Bears Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 10, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bears 21 Packers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 3-8 ATS as a road favorite. 3-7 ATS off a road loss. 3-9 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 1-4 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 8-3 OVER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 9-4 OVER revenging a loss against an opponent.
Chicago Bears: 14-7 ATS in home games. 14-6 ATS after playing a game at home. 11-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 OVER off a home loss. 8-5 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: D. Jennings (OG) Out - Throat. J. Jacobs (RB) Injured - Knee. M. Willis (QB) Questionable - Shoulder. N. Niemann (LB) Out - Pectoral. A. Banks (OG) Injured - Illness. J. Love (QB) Injured - Shoulder. Z. Tom (OG) Questionable - Back. J. Reed (WR) Injured - Illness. D. Wicks (WR) Doubtful - Concussion. L. Van Ness (DL) Injured - Illness. E. Cooper (LB) Injured - Shoulder. S. Williams (WR) Out - Foot. J. Williams (OG) Out - Back.
Chicago Bears: J. Brisker (CB) Questionable - Illness. J. Jackson (OG) Injured - Illness. J. Blackwell (CB) Injured - Shoulder. N. McCloud (CB) Questionable - Illness. O. Zaccheaus (WR) Injured - Illness. J. Tryon-Shoyinka (DL) Out - Concussion. R. Odunze (WR) Questionable - Foot. O. Trapilo (OG) Questionable - Knee. L. Burden III (WR) Injured - Quad.
Notable Quotes
“We tried to protect as many as we could. But also, I thought it was just a great opportunity for a lot of these guys that haven’t gotten the reps that maybe they want.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s loss against the Vikings in their last game.
“They fought their tails off, but came up short. We’ve got to play better going forward, we’ve got to coach better going forward as well and we’re turning the page, though. We got the No. 2 seed, we’ve got a home game next week and we’ve got a new season on the horizon. Our guys should be reinvigorated by that. I know I certainly am.” - Ben Johnson after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Wilson, Emanuel
Chicago Bears
WR Walker, Jahdae
WR Moore, DJ
WR Burden III, Luther
TE Loveland, Colston
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (3,381)
Rushing: Josh Jacobs (929)
Receiving: Romeo Doubs (724)
Touchdowns: Josh Jacobs (14)
Chicago Bears
Passing: Caleb Williams (3,942)
Rushing: D'Andre Swift (1,087)
Receiving: Colston Loveland (713)
Touchdowns: D'Andre Swift (10)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (7th season)
Chicago Bears: Ben Johnson (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
