Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/17/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 17, 2023

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Packers -1, Falcons +1; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Packers -1, Falcons +1; Over/Under:  40.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Packers -1, Falcons +1; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Green Bay Packers:  1-0 (1st place, NFC North)

Atlanta Falcons:  1-0 (2nd place, NFC North)

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Green Bay Packers:  won their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 38-20.

Atlanta Falcons:  won their last game at home against the Carolina Panthers 24-10.

The Packers are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too.  They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Bears 38-20. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 15/27 passes for 245 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 41 and 1 TD. Aaron Jones led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Rasul Douglas led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Devonte Wyatt led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Quay Walker came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Panthers 24-10. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 15/18 passes for 115 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 2 TDs. Kyle Pitts led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 0 receptions. Kaden Elliss led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Lorenzo Carter led the defense in sacks with 1. Jessie Bates III came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons played really well in their season opener as they beat the Panthers at home in a divisional game. It took them some time to get going in that game as they struggled in the 1st half to pull away but they owned the 2nd half of that game and will be back at home for this one where they are a much better team. The Packers also looked really good in their season opener with a huge divisional win over the Bears but the Bears were terrible in that game and couldn't get anything going on offense. The Falcons are young but they do have a lot of weapons on their offense and they have the advantage of being at home here. The Packers played well but the Bears are clearly going to be one of the worst teams in the NFL once again while the Falcons have hopes of winning their division this season so they will fight hard for a win here. The Packers could also be without Aaron Jones in this game which will be a big loss after the way he played in week 1. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Packers Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 17, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 24 Packers 17.

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Green Bay Packers: 6-3 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 14-5 UNDER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. 11-5 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 

Atlanta Falcons: 6-11 ATS in home games. 35-59 ATS off a win against a division rival. 11-6 UNDER in home games. 9-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 

Green Bay Packers:  Q. Walker (LB) day-to-day - Concussion. A. Johnson Jr. (S) day-to-day - Knee. C. Watson (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. A. Jones (RB) day-to-day - Hamstring. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.

Atlanta Falcons:  C. Patterson (RB) day-to-day - Thigh. J. Okudah (CB) day-to-day - Ankle. P. Hart (WR) I-R - Concussion. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.

“I couldn’t be more proud of just his performance, his poise. There’s a big-time belief in that locker room for Jordan Love, and I think the guys are gonna rally around him. They’re excited for him. They love him. They respect him.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game. 

“This was a super-fun first game for me. I just can’t wait to showcase what we’ve got going down the line.” - Bijan Robinson after their win against the Panthers in their last game.

WR Watson, Christian 

WR Doubs, Romeo 

WR Reed, Jayden 

TE Musgrave, Luke 

QB Love, Jordan 

RB Jones, Aaron 

WR London, Drake 

WR Hollins, Mack 

TE Smith, Jonnu 

TE Pitts, Kyle 

QB Ridder, Desmond 

RB Robinson, Bijan 

FB SMITH, KEITH 

Passing: J. Love (245)

Rushing: A. Jones (41)

Receiving: A. Jones (86)

Touchdowns: R. Doubs (2)

Passing: D. Ridder (115)

Rushing: T. Allgeier (75)

Receiving: K. Pitts (44)

Touchdowns: T. Allgeier (2)

Coaches:

Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)

Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)