Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/30/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 30, 2023

Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1, Kings +1; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Sacramento Kings:  48-34 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

Sacramento Kings:  4-6 last 10

The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 11-30 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 29 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 22 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 37.2% from the field, 31.3% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 41-46-1 this season and their O/U record is 47-38-3.

The Kings finished the regular season with a 48-34 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Golden State Warriors in their last game. Malik Monk led the team in points in that game with 28 while De'Aaron Fox was next on the team with 26 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Keegan Murray led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 40.4% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 84% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 49-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 43-44-1.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 7 of a 7-game series between the 3rd seeded Kings and the 6th seeded Warriors for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. This series is all tied up 3-3 and this will be the final game of the series with the winner moving on to the 2nd round of the playoffs to play against the Los Angeles Lakers. The Warriors didn't look good in game 6 at all, they had won 3 games in a row in the series and had a chance to end the series on their home court but instead lost by 19 points to a desperate Kings team. The Kings did a very good job in that game on the road with their backs against the wall. Now the Warriors are going to be on the road here where they have been terrible all season, but this is the playoffs and they already won the last game of this series in Sacramento, they will dig in deep with their playoff experience and find a way to win this game. The Kings may have been better during the regular season but the Warriors are still the defending champions and they know how to close out a series in a game 7. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game.

Warriors Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 30, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Warriors 129 Kings 121.

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Golden State Warriors: 13-30 ATS in road games. 3-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 29-12 OVER in road games. 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Sacramento Kings: 10-4 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 15-7 ATS vs. division opponents. 27-16 OVER in home games. 18-7 OVER off an upset win of 15 points or more as a road underdog.

Golden State Warriors:  P. Baldwin Jr. (SF) Ques Sun - Toe. A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

Sacramento Kings:  M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.

“They came out with more force and more energy and they executed better. The right team won, that’s for sure. They came in and earned the victory. And now we’ve got to regroup and get ready for Game 7.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Friday, game 6 of this series. 

“We’ve had a great spirit, we have all year. We’ve responded all year. We didn’t lose faith. We knew we had a Game 7 back at home. We’re capable of winning in this building. Our offense has been asleep I think most of this series. We just know if we can get back to ourselves we could continue this series. We did that tonight. But our confidence never wavered.” - Kevin Huerter after their win against the Warriors in their game on Friday, game 6 of this series. 

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Draymond Green

C Kevon Looney

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Kevin Huerter

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PPG: S. Curry (29.4)

APG: D. Green (6.8)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

PPG: D. Fox (25)

APG: D. Sabonis (7.3)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.3)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)