Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/26/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 24, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 26, 2023
Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -4, Kings +4; Over/Under:  233.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors -4, Kings +4; Over/Under:  233 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors -3.5, Kings +3.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Sacramento Kings:  48-34 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10
Sacramento Kings:  4-6 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Preview and Analysis


The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 11-30 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with both wins coming against the Sacramento Kings in their last 2 games. In game 4, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 32 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 26 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 50% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 91.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 40-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-37-3.



The Kings finished the regular season with a 48-34 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with both losses coming against the Golden State Warriors in their last 2 games. In game 4, De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 38 while Keegan Murray was next on the team with 23 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 8 while De'Aaron Fox led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.1% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 48-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 42-43-1.


Warriors vs Kings Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the 3rd seeded Kings and the 6th seeded Warriors for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. This series is all tied up 2-2 going back to Sacramento as the Warriors were able to win both of their home games and stretch this series out. The Kings were really close to winning that 4th game and taking a 3-1 series lead but they were unable to win that game late as the playoff experience of the Warriors really showed. The Kings are now in trouble going back home as they could be without their star player De'Aaron Fox who is now dealing with an injury. That is a huge blow for the Kings since he is dealing with a finger injury that will affect his shooting and the Kings won't have enough in the tank to beat the Warriors without him. The Warriors were bad in their road games this year and are fortunate to even be tied 2-2 in this series, but now that they have the momentum on their side along with this key injury for the Kings, the Warriors will dig in with their playoff experience and take advantage of their chance to take a series lead in this game. The Warriors are still the defending champions and they are going to show why when they show up big in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game.

Warriors Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 26, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 114 Kings 104.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 12-30 ATS in road games. 12-30 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 28-12 OVER in road games. 28-12 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.

Sacramento Kings: 28-15 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 10-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 10-3 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 26-16 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

Sacramento Kings:  D. Fox (PG) Ques Wed - Finger. M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.


Notable Quotes


“These games are coming down to the wire, and you’ve just got to really finish possessions and try to give yourself the best chance, and then sometimes, it’s just, does the ball go in or not.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Kings in their game on Sunday, game 4 of this series.


“We made some timely mistakes, especially in the fourth quarter. This is where our playoff inexperience comes into play because you can’t rest out there, or you can’t think that you can play something a certain way and the champions are not going to make you pay the price.” - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the Warriors in their game on Sunday, game 4 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (25)
APG: D. Sabonis (7.3)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.3)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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