Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/15/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Apr 11, 2023
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 15, 2023
Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1, Kings +1; Over/Under:  238.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +1, Kings -1; Over/Under:  238.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +1.5, Kings -1.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Sacramento Kings:  48-34 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  8-2 last 10
Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Preview and Analysis


The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 11-30 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Sacramento Kings, and the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 26 while Moses Moody was next on the team with 25 points. Donte DiVincenzo led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kevon Looney and Gary Payton II each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 60.4% from the field, 55.1% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 39-42-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-35-3.



The Kings finished the regular season with a 48-34 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Dallas Mavericks, the Golden State Warriors, and the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Harrison Barnes led the team in points in that game with 17 while Keegan Murray and Domantas Sabonis each were next on the team with 14 points. P. J. Dozier led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.5% from the field, 25.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 45-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-41-1.


Warriors vs Kings Prediction

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7-game series between the 3rd seeded Kings and the 6th seeded Warriors for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Kings finished the season as the best team in the Pacific Division with their 48-34 record overall but the Warriors were starting to make a big push near the end of the season, ending the year with a 44-38 record overall. The Warriors were a terrible road team all season though with their 11-30 road record while the Kings have a 23-18 home record. The Kings have lost 3 games in a row now while the Warriors are going to have some momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row, but the Warriors have been playing hard lately as they were trying to keep their 6th place spot in the West, avoiding the play-in tournament, while the Kings clinched their division with their last win and then rested everyone for the rest of the regular season. The Warriors are the defending champions but they don't even have home advantage in this series because of how bad they were on the road all year and it is going to come back and bite them here with the Kings looking to make a deep run after making so many moves to get better over the last year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game.

Warriors Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 15, 2023 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Kings 124 Warriors 120.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 12-28 ATS in road games. 12-28 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 27-11 OVER in road games. 27-11 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.
Sacramento Kings: 11-5 ATS vs. division opponents. 12-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 25-15 OVER in home games. 25-15 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  T. Jerome (SG) Ques Sat - Illness. A. Wiggins (SF) Mid April - Personal. A. Iguodala (SG) Late April - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Sacramento Kings:  D. Mitchell (PG) Ques Sat - Knee. M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.


Notable Quotes


“We’ve played really well the last couple of weeks. I think we’ve won eight of 10. Today guys were locked in right from the beginning. Guys knew what was at stake and controlled the game from the opening tap so hopefully that carries over to next week.” - Steve Kerr on his team coming into this playoff series against the Kings.


“You don’t know until you go through it with the group, but they put themselves in a pretty good position. So now let’s see if we can continue our momentum going into the playoffs by stepping it up a notch higher than what we did during the regular season.” - Mike Brown on his team coming into this playoff series against the Warriors.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Donte DiVincenzo
PF Jonathan Kuminga
C Draymond Green

Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (25)
APG: D. Sabonis (7.3)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.3)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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