Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/05/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 5, 2026
Venue:  Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ 
Where to Watch:  Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +6.5, Suns -6.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +6.5, Suns -6.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +6.5, Suns -6.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  27-24 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Phoenix Suns:  31-20 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10
Phoenix Suns:  7-3 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Preview and Analysis


The Warriors are entering this game with a 27-24 record overall this season and they are 10-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Detroit Pistons and the Philadelphia 76ers. Gui Santos and Pat Spencer each led the team in points in that game with 13 while Moses Moody was next on the team with 12 points. De'Anthony Melton led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47.4% from the field, 39.6% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 24-27 this season and their O/U record is 30-21.



The Suns are entering this game with a 31-20 record overall this season and they are 17-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Portland Trail Blazers. Collin Gillespie led the team in points in that game with 30 while Mark Williams and Grayson Allen each were next on the team with 24 points. Collin Gillespie led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Mark Williams led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 51.5% from the field, 48.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.6 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 34-17 this season and their O/U record is 21-30.


Warriors vs Suns Prediction

The current betting odds have the Suns listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Suns have looked good in their games this season with their 31-20 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 17-7 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 27-24 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 10-15 road record this year. The Warriors have been a solid team all season, but an injury to Jimmy Butler has really derailed their year. They are no longer a contender in the West with Butler out for the season, and it doesn't help that Curry has been dealing with an injury too. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have lost 2 games in a row now. They could be without Steph again here and that is going to be a big issue against a red hot Suns team. The Suns are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have been rolling lately. They are off a road win over the Trail Blazers in their last one and they continue to find ways to win games without Booker in the lineup. They have shown that they are still a really good team even without Booker, and they have looked like a different team on their home court this year. The Warriors have struggled to be competitive without Curry on the floor and the Suns can take advantage of the Warriors in this current spiral, even if Booker misses another game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Suns to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 5, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Suns 119 Warriors 111.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 1-4 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 5-9 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 4-11 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 26-18 UNDER on the road after playing a home game.

Phoenix Suns: 34-16 ATS in all games. 8-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-5 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 16-8 UNDER in home games. 10-5 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (PG) Day To Day - Knee. L. Cryer (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. J. Kuminga (PF) Day To Day - Knee. S. Curry (SG) Out - Back. J. Butler III (SF) Out For Season - Knee.

Phoenix Suns:  J. Green (SG) Day To Day - Hip. D. Booker (SG) Day To Day - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“Disappointed with the overall effort. That was not a game that we can repeat for sure. We’ve got to bring the juice and bring the energy and the collective competitive spirit necessary to win the game.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the 76ers in their game on Tuesday.


"I wish it was coaching staff. We're in a good place. Lucky to be around really good people staff wise, top to bottom, management, performance team, coaching staff, but it's really about the players. They've got to go out there and perform." - Jordan Ott on being named West Coach of the Month.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Brandin Podziemski
SF Moses Moody
PF Draymond Green
C Al Horford

Phoenix Suns
PG Collin Gillespie
SG Grayson Allen
SF Dillon Brooks
PF Royce O'Neale
C Mark Williams

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: Stephen Curry (27.2)
APG: Draymond Green (5.2)
Reb/G: Jonathan Kuminga (5.9)

Phoenix Suns
PPG: Devin Booker (25.4)
APG: Devin Booker (6.2)
Reb/G: Mark Williams (8.1)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)
Phoenix Suns: Jordan Ott (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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