Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/26/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Where to Watch:  BSOK

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -9, Thunder +9; Over/Under:  224 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors NL, Thunder NL; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors NL, Thunder NL; Over/Under:  NL points
 

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  3-0 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  0-3 (5th place, Northwest Division)
 
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Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  won on the road on Oct. 24 against the Sacramento Kings 119-107.
Oklahoma City Thunder:  lost at home on Oct. 24 against the Philadelphia 76ers 115-103.
 
 
 

Golden State Warriors Analysis

The Warriors are coming into this game with a 3-0 record overall to start their season off and they are 2-0 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have collected wins in their last 3 games straight, winning against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Los Angeles Clippers, and the Kings in their last game. They are riding that 3 game winning streak coming into this game and are coming off of a win against the Kings in a game that was close in the first half but the Warriors came out in the second half and took control of the game. Steph Curry led the team in points in that game with 27 along with 10 assists and 7 rebounds. Jordan Poole was 2nd on the team in points with 22 along with 3 assists and 3 rebounds. Andrew Wiggins also had a decent game with 17 points but no one else on the team scored over 15 points in that game. Curry led the team in assists with 10 while Otto Porter Jr. led the team in rebounds off of the bench. Their offense is averaging 118.3 PPG in their first 3 games while their defense is allowing their opponents to score 111.3 PPG against them. The Warriors opened as a 3 point favorite in their last game with that line roughly staying the same by close while the point total opened at 231 closing around 234.5 points. The Warriors covered the spread in that game winning it by 12 points while the game stayed under the total with 226 total points.
 
 

Oklahoma City Thunder Analysis

The Thunder are coming into this NBA game with a 0-3 record overall to start their season off and they are 0-1 in their home games this NBA season. They have lost 3 games straight against the Utah Jazz, the Houston Rockets, and the 76ers in their last game, riding that 3 game losing streak into this game. They lost to the 76ers in their last game going down big in the first quarter and were never really able to recover from that trailing the entire game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander went off in that game for his team leading them with 29 points along with 8 assists and 6 rebounds. Rookie Josh Giddey was 2nd on the team in points with 19 along with 7 assists and 8 rebounds but no one else really contributed to the offense heavily. Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Giddey led the team in rebounds with 8. Their offense is averaging 93.3 PPG in their first 3 games while their defense is allowing their opponents to score 115.3 PPG against them. The Thunder opened their last game as an 8.5 point underdog with that line closing around 9.5 points while the point total opened at 219.5 and dropped closing around 215.5 points. They did not cover that spread in that game losing it by 12 points while the game stayed under the opening line but went over the closing line with 218 total points in that game.
 
 

 

Warriors vs Thunder Prediction

The Warriors are coming into this game as a 9 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder are not a very good team this year and they have been getting smashed in their games losing all of them by double-digits. Once Gilgeous-Alexander is taken out of the equation this team really has nothing going for them on offense. The Warriors are attacking their opponents with different ways to win each game and they are finding the answers to get the job done in each game so far. After a slow start in his first game, Curry has been playing much better in their last 2 and will be tough for the Thunder to stop here. The best bet to place in this game is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game as they are just a much better team.
 
Warriors Thunder Prediction:  Our free NBA Pick for Tuesday, October 26, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 123 Thunder 102.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Golden State Warriors: 154-179 O/U when the total is 220 to 229.5. 219-261 O/U when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 480-483 O/U as a favorite. 153-178 O/U as a road favorite. 496-538 O/U in road games. 161-169 O/U against Northwest division opponents.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 102-118 O/U as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 551-579 O/U in all games. 70-88 O/U when the total is 220 to 229.5. 88-113 O/U when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 183-230 O/U as an underdog. 54-62 O/U as a home underdog. 277-282 O/U in home games. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Ques Tues - Hip injury. J. Kuminga (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. K. Thompson (SG) Mid Jan - Knee injury. J. Wiseman (C) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Oklahoma City Thunder:  None.
 

Players to Watch

 
Golden State Warriors: Steph Curry is one player to watch in this matchup. He is leading the team in points, assists and rebounds per game this season. He is coming off of a game where he led the team in points and assists and is averaging over 30 points per game this season. Look for him to keep playing well in this game and lead his team to another win here.
 
Oklahoma City Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in points per game this season. He is coming off of a game where he led the team in points and assists and he has pretty much been the entire offense for the Thunder in their first 3 games. If they are going to win this game it will be because of him and the way he played so look for him to have a good game here and carry his team again.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"You want to win games early, you want to get off to a good start but we know we have a lot of things that we can sharpen up like every team in the league.  really feel like we have that capability to take productive strides every game. We've won three different games three different ways but it's still about building confidence early in the year." - Steph Curry on the way he and his team have played in their first 3 games of the season.
 
 
"We just competed tonight, especially in the fourth. We did everything we could to get the game. Obviously, it wasn't enough, but we were going to put our hard-hats on and try to go get it for sure." - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the way they played in their loss to the 76ers in their last game. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Golden State Warriors
PG     Stephen Curry
SG     Jordan Poole
SF     Andrew Wiggins
PF     Draymond Green
C     Kevon Looney
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG     Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG     Luguentz Dort
SF     Josh Giddey
PF     Darius Bazley
C     Derrick Favors
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (31)
APG: S. Curry (7)
Reb/G: S. Curry (9)
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (20)
APG: J. Giddey (4.7)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (6.7)
 
Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (8th season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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