Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/07/2026

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, March 7, 2026

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +14.5, Thunder -14.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +14.5, Thunder -14.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +14.5, Thunder -14.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  32-30 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  49-15 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 32-30 record overall this season and they are 13-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Houston Rockets. Brandin Podziemski led the team in points in that game with 26 while De'Anthony Melton was next on the team with 23 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Brandin Podziemski led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.9% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 28-34 this season and their O/U record is 37-25.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 49-15 record overall this season and they are 25-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the Dallas Mavericks, the Chicago Bulls, and the New York Knicks. Chet Holmgren led the team in points in that game with 28 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was next on the team with 26 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.2% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 84% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.8 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 31-33 this season and their O/U record is 33-31.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 49-15 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 25-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 32-30 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 13-17 road record this year. The Warriors have been a solid team this season, but they haven't looked that good lately and they have been struggling a lot since losing to Butler and Curry to injuries. This isn't the same team anymore that could have been a contender in the West this season and it is starting to show in their games lately. They are off a road win over the Rockets in their last one and that was a nice win for them in OT, but they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have been taking some pretty bad losses too. They have also struggled in road games all season, even when they were healthy, and now they are facing the defending champions who are also one of the best home teams in the NBA. The Thunder have been crushing opponents at home all year and even when they were dealing with some injuries to key starters, they were still winning games with the talent they have. Now they are healthy and they have been rolling lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have won 4 games in a row now. Look for the Thunder to continue rolling in this one and take advantage of a banged up Warriors team that hasn't been good on the road this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 7, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 119 Warriors 98.

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Golden State Warriors: 4-8 ATS off a road win. 2-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 5-11 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 11-3 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 31-17 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 15-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 81-48 ATS in home games. 16-6 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Golden State Warriors:  G. Payton II (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. M. Moody (SG) Day To Day - Wrist. W. Richard (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. K. Porzingis (C) Day To Day - Illness. S. Curry (SG) Day To Day - Back. S. Curry (PG) Out - Knee. J. Butler III (SF) Out For Season - Knee.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Hip. I. Hartenstein (C) Day To Day - Calf. B. Carlson (C) Day To Day - Back. A. Mitchell (SG) Day To Day - Abdomen. J. Williams (SG) Out - Hamstring. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

“This is a good building for us. A lot of good memories in that locker room. Feels like a playoff win.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Thursday.

"It's one thing to say it, it's one thing to be ready when you know your number's getting called. He wasn't set to be in the rotation tonight. I wouldn't have called on him if I didn't know he'd be ready to go and throw his best punch." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Wednesday.

PG Brandin Podziemski

SG De'Anthony Melton

SF Moses Moody

PF Gui Santos

C Draymond Green

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Alex Caruso 

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein 

PPG: Stephen Curry (27.2)

APG: Draymond Green (5.2)

Reb/G: Draymond Green (5.6)

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.6)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.2)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)